NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	79		Excitement	9.2 [102]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +37.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	14.5 [77]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -36.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	25	47%	0.02	2	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
John Stockton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	5	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.22,-0.36	0.02	-0.39	-0.01	13	60%	-0.29	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.50

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,0.38	0.38	-0.02	0.40	0.01	20	52%	0.45	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	55%	0.00	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.10
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	6	50%	0.07	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	5	53%	-0.07	3	-0.19	9	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	29.3	19.0	33.1	2.6	42.4	153.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.2%

POR +17.7%

POR +16.1%

UTA -18.3%

UTA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	18.1	14.1	15.2	88.8	90.0	101.7
season	16.3	15.9		104.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		99.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.7	13.8	19.0	19.1	18.1
POR	12.0	16.8	11.8	15.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	3.0	18.3	-15.27	0.0	14.3	-14.26
Jacque Vaughn	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	13.6	18.6	-5.06	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Quincy Lewis	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	2	-6	17.5	18.3	-0.80	14.2	14.1	0.17
Armen Gilliam	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	4	-10	17.2	18.3	-1.13	14.3	14.0	0.27
Olden Polynice	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-1	0	18.2	17.7	0.48	14.1	13.9	0.20
John Stockton	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	18.3	17.5	0.86	14.7	12.5	2.13
Karl Malone	83	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	18.2	16.2	2.07	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Howard Eisley	30	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	5	-12	17.6	18.4	-0.76	14.5	13.9	0.54
Jeff Hornacek	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-4	6	18.7	15.6	3.03	13.6	16.4	-2.78
Bryon Russell	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.55	2	-4	6	18.5	16.9	1.66	14.3	13.6	0.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	56	55	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-1	4	13.6	15.0	-1.45	17.8	18.6	-0.79
Scottie Pippen	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	4	-6	14.0	14.6	-0.64	18.2	17.7	0.54
Detlef Schrempf	31	29	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	-2	6	15.5	13.4	2.06	18.8	17.7	1.08
Arvydas Sabonis	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	0	2	14.4	13.3	1.01	18.5	16.8	1.69
Damon Stoudamire	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	-1	4	12.9	16.8	-3.95	18.9	16.5	2.39
Steven Smith	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	1	0	13.7	15.2	-1.47	17.8	18.9	-1.06
Greg Anthony	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	3	-4	16.8	12.9	3.95	16.5	18.9	-2.39
Bonzi Wells	14	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	13.7	14.2	-0.46	17.3	18.2	-0.93
Brian Grant	57	55	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.21	-1	3	-4	14.3	13.7	0.64	17.9	18.4	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.43,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.42,1	92.2%
PHX 114, SEA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,1	90.7%
GSW 112, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	90.6%