NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.9 [626]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +16.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	5.9 [119]		LVP	Darvin Ham (MIL): -14.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.05	17	71%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.01	27	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Travis Best	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	22	54%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	21	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	1	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.8	29.4	19.4	25.6	3.3	32.5	134.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.9%

IND +14.4%

MIL -7.5%

IND +10.8%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	15.3	15.2	125.3	109.1	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		106.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	17.6	18.2	18.8	17.6
MIL	14.4	13.2	16.9	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	40	42	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-3	19	17.5	17.7	-0.27	15.7	15.0	0.73
Derrick McKey	45	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	0	13	17.2	18.0	-0.83	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Jalen Rose	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-1	15	17.4	18.9	-1.50	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Austin Croshere	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-1	15	18.0	16.6	1.38	15.6	14.6	1.00
Reggie Miller	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	1	11	17.6	19.0	-1.41	15.2	16.5	-1.25
Dale Davis	63	64	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	17.7	17.3	0.45	15.6	14.5	1.05
Jonathan Bender	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	17.6	-17.62	11.0	15.4	-4.36
Zan Tabak	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	17.6	-17.62	11.0	15.4	-4.36
Sam Perkins	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	14	-15	18.0	17.5	0.46	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Mark Jackson	47	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	16	-19	17.7	17.5	0.27	15.0	15.7	-0.73

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	12.7	15.4	-2.73	13.0	17.8	-4.79
Sam Cassell	60	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.4	15.0	0.40	17.0	18.9	-1.89
Ervin Johnson	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-10	7	15.3	15.3	0.08	17.7	17.4	0.26
Glenn Robinson	73	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	15.1	16.3	-1.16	17.7	17.4	0.27
Vinny Del Negro	33	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.8	15.6	-0.88	18.1	17.4	0.69
Scott Williams	27	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-1	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.55	17.0	17.9	-0.93
Darvin Ham	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	2	-17	15.9	14.1	1.78	17.3	18.2	-0.83
Ray Allen	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-5	-3	15.2	15.7	-0.48	17.9	15.0	2.92
Tim Thomas	52	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-3	-7	15.5	15.0	0.52	18.3	16.6	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
DAL 102, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.02,0,0	92.6%
SAS 87, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.5%