NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	82		Excitement	7.1 [226]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +28.2%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	2.1 [374]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -27.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.04	8	87%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	15	52%	0.10	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	14%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.18,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	18	53%	0.09	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.27,-0.28	-0.19	-0.11	-0.02	18	22%	-0.18	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.18	0.00	17	73%	0.36	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.05	1	-0.06	11	64%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	0.01	19	45%	0.05	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.02
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.3	34.5	20.7	28.1	3.3	43.5	159.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.3%

NYK +3.1%

IND -12.0%

NYK +34.7%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.8	88.2	97.8	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		105.4	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.0		95.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	16.3	15.3	15.3	15.7
NYK	15.4	16.5	17.5	12.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	46	46	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-18	28	15.2	16.1	-0.89	16.5	14.5	2.02
Sam Perkins	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	12.7	15.9	-3.19	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Travis Best	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.7	-0.12	15.8	15.3	0.48
Rik Smits	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-13	18	16.4	14.2	2.21	16.0	14.5	1.48
Derrick McKey	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	1	-10	17.7	15.2	2.48	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Dale Davis	66	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	15.3	16.6	-1.30	16.1	14.1	1.99
Mark Jackson	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	15.7	15.6	0.12	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Antonio Davis	44	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	4	-16	15.4	15.9	-0.58	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Reggie Miller	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.9	15.0	0.94	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jalen Rose	60	60	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.24	-19	11	-30	15.4	16.2	-0.80	14.3	17.7	-3.40

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	71	72	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.19	26	-18	44	15.0	16.9	-1.86	15.8	15.1	0.74
Chris Childs	70	71	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.18	24	-16	40	15.1	16.7	-1.66	16.0	14.5	1.47
Allan Houston	90	91	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	15.5	16.0	-0.54	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Latrell Sprewell	83	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	5	-2	15.1	18.6	-3.42	15.5	17.9	-2.42
Chris Dudley	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.49	-10	18	-28	15.7	15.2	0.48	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Kurt Thomas	52	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	3	2	15.8	15.0	0.78	15.7	15.6	0.16
Larry Johnson	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	10	-12	17.4	14.8	2.60	16.7	15.3	1.44
Charlie Ward	24	23	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.04	-14	22	-36	15.9	15.3	0.61	14.2	16.1	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	92.9%
LAC 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.9%
BOS 98, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.4%