NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	8.6 [175]		MVP	JJ Hickson (DEN): +26.9%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	1.9 [351]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -17.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	19	59%	0.18	6	-0.16	11	82%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	25	42%	-0.05	2	-0.12	12	100%	0.09

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	-0.00	14	60%	0.31	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.14	0.02	9	79%	0.33	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.04	-0.06	10	56%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	10	56%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	15	37%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	5	27%	-0.02	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	42.0	17.6	32.6	3.5	33.2	157.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.6%

DEN +9.3%

DEN +9.1%

LAC -3.1%

LAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	15.1	97.1	107.8	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		111.0	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	13.9	13.6	15.8	14.3
DEN	13.6	11.4	17.1	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	16	17	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-9	8	16.6	13.9	2.64	13.2	13.9	-0.64
Willie Green	68	66	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-12	14	13.9	15.2	-1.32	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Ryan Hollins	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	13.0	14.3	-1.34	21.0	13.7	7.31
Danny Granger	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-1	-8	15.6	13.2	2.41	13.0	14.4	-1.41
Blake Griffin	91	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.1	16.2	-2.17	13.7	14.2	-0.53
Matt Barnes	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-9	8	13.2	15.8	-2.65	14.4	12.9	1.54
Chris Paul	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	13.7	17.3	-3.57	13.7	14.1	-0.35
DeAndre Jordan	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-5	0	13.6	15.3	-1.63	14.6	12.7	1.93
Glen Davis	38	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.01	-16	6	-22	15.1	13.9	1.23	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Reggie Bullock	49	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	4	-18	16.1	12.7	3.46	14.5	13.1	1.36

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	60	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-10	30	13.8	13.6	0.21	15.6	12.4	3.21
Wilson Chandler	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	2	6	13.2	15.3	-2.15	13.2	17.3	-4.15
Kenneth Faried	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	5	0	14.5	12.2	2.38	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Ty Lawson	83	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.0	15.8	-1.89
Quincy Miller	23	23	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	15.5	13.3	2.27	17.8	13.3	4.45
Randy Foye	65	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	13.9	13.6	0.31	13.4	15.9	-2.52
Aaron Brooks	34	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	8	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.53	15.6	13.7	1.88
Darrell Arthur	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	6	-2	13.0	14.0	-1.00	15.3	13.9	1.36
Timofey Mozgov	46	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	17	-24	13.2	14.3	-1.12	12.4	15.9	-3.46
Evan Fournier	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	12	-14	14.0	13.7	0.28	16.2	13.6	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.78,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 87, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.98,1	92.9%
IND 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.9%
CHI 95, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.3%