NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	6.6 [278]		MVP	Thurl Bailey (UTA): +7.1%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	5.1 [203]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -19.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	13	63%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Walt Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Greg Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	7	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	14	52%	0.00	7	-0.20	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.14
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	-0.06	10	40%	0.02	4	-0.09	5	40%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	15	53%	-0.05	4	-0.12	17	76%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.2	19.6	24.2	2.8	37.2	142.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +19.6%

UTA +12.2%

UTA +12.0%

UTA +1.5%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.8	96.5	105.7	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		102.0	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.9		96.1	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	14.2	15.9	17.0	16.2
UTA	17.0	14.6	20.1	16.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	55	56	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-13	16	16.1	16.4	-0.31	17.6	15.7	1.87
Jermaine O'Neal	5	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-12	14	17.0	16.2	0.83	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Stacey Augmon	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-12	14	18.0	14.9	3.17	17.9	16.2	1.67
Greg Anthony	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-11	12	16.2	16.2	0.04	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Kelvin Cato	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-5	0	17.5	15.7	1.83	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Arvydas Sabonis	43	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-12	14	15.0	17.4	-2.44	18.2	15.4	2.77
Walt Williams	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-3	-4	12.3	17.7	-5.41	13.6	18.1	-4.47
Damon Stoudamire	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	16.2	16.2	-0.04	17.1	16.0	1.09
Isaiah Rider	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.3	16.0	0.24	16.9	16.7	0.18
Jim Jackson	33	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	17.0	15.8	1.21	16.7	17.0	-0.32
Rasheed Wallace	60	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	9	-28	16.5	15.5	0.98	16.6	17.6	-1.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	75	74	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.13	22	-12	34	17.0	16.1	0.94	16.7	13.4	3.26
Todd Fuller	36	35	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.15	18	-8	26	14.1	18.8	-4.72	15.1	17.0	-1.96
Shandon Anderson	49	46	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-1	12	15.3	18.9	-3.59	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Karl Malone	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-8	26	16.6	18.5	-1.86	16.3	15.5	0.77
John Stockton	61	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	16.3	18.1	-1.78	15.2	18.5	-3.30
Greg Ostertag	47	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	19.3	14.1	5.11	17.1	15.2	1.91
Howard Eisley	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	15	-20	18.1	16.3	1.78	18.5	15.2	3.30
Thurl Bailey	13	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	18	-26	18.5	16.6	1.86	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Greg Foster	5	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	17	-24	14.6	17.0	-2.41	16.2	16.2	-0.06
Jeff Hornacek	40	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	13	-16	18.9	15.2	3.76	17.0	15.5	1.55
Adam Keefe	12	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	20	-30	15.7	17.1	-1.40	13.4	16.7	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.3%
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.1%
GSW 106, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.0%