NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	2.5 [758]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +9.5%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.0 [580]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	68%	0.03	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Sheppard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	8	72%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	73%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	66%	0.02	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.02	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	85%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	18	62%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	14	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	30.4	17.0	28.0	1.7	24.4	133.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.3%

ATL -4.3%

DET +3.9%

DET +14.6%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	17.4	15.8	98.8	121.2	99.6
season	16.7	16.6		97.2	101.4
opponent	16.1	16.3		97.9	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	15.8	18.1	16.5	16.9
DET	18.0	17.0	16.9	17.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Sheppard	13	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	14.8	17.2	-2.40	19.2	17.0	2.17
Ed Gray	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-21	21	15.4	17.5	-2.04	17.3	17.5	-0.21
Anthony Johnson	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-17	13	15.3	18.5	-3.15	17.1	17.8	-0.71
Roshown McLeod	34	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-17	13	16.8	16.9	-0.07	18.7	16.4	2.24
Mark West	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-11	1	16.1	17.3	-1.12	16.9	17.7	-0.85
Grant Long	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-2	-17	17.6	15.9	1.63	16.7	18.3	-1.54
Mookie Blaylock	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-6	-9	17.5	15.8	1.75	17.7	16.9	0.77
Dikembe Mutombo	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-6	-9	17.2	15.8	1.42	17.1	18.2	-1.04
Steven Smith	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-3	-15	16.8	17.1	-0.36	17.4	17.5	-0.18
Tyrone Corbin	50	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.18	-24	3	-27	18.2	14.8	3.35	17.4	17.4	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-2	25	16.9	18.1	-1.23	19.3	13.5	5.75
Lindsey Hunter	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	5	11	18.0	15.3	2.77	17.4	15.2	2.15
Joe Dumars	47	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	1	19	16.9	18.0	-1.11	18.5	14.6	3.87
Grant Hill	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.26	23	-2	25	16.8	18.9	-2.14	17.6	15.0	2.57
Bison Dele	45	46	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.30	24	-3	27	16.7	18.2	-1.49	18.3	15.1	3.22
Jud Buechler	37	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	17	-13	17.8	17.1	0.61	15.5	17.9	-2.44
Eric Montross	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	27	-33	18.5	16.9	1.51	15.1	17.6	-2.56
Jerry Stackhouse	41	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	23	-25	18.1	16.7	1.42	14.9	18.5	-3.64
Christian Laettner	38	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	23	-25	19.3	15.9	3.44	14.8	18.4	-3.58
Don Reid	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.0	17.7	-5.75	11.0	17.2	-6.24
Loy Vaught	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	15.9	17.6	-1.69	11.7	17.3	-5.63
Charles O'Bannon	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.0	17.7	-5.75	11.0	17.2	-6.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 111, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 104, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%