NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	2.8 [1203]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +13.4%
Phoenix Suns	127		Comeback	1.0 [1282]		LVP	Quincy Douby (SAC): -6.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	16	49%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	25	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Justin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Darryl Watkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	17	43%	-0.01	3	-0.02	15	47%	-0.06
Quincy Douby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.00	10	86%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	16	66%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	9	42%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.01	0.10	9	86%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	29%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.8	14.8	26.3	2.7	29.2	128.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.8%

PHX +8.9%

SAC -8.4%

PHX +9.7%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	12.2	15.4	109.9	124.5	105.7
season	14.9	13.8		105.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	17.2	16.4	15.3	16.2
PHX	9.7	12.1	13.6	13.5	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darryl Watkins	21	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-28	40	14.8	16.6	-1.85	13.3	11.8	1.53
Justin Williams	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-15	14	16.5	16.1	0.36	13.2	11.7	1.52
Mikki Moore	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-4	-8	16.6	15.8	0.78	12.1	12.3	-0.22
Brad Miller	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-11	6	16.4	16.1	0.23	11.5	12.6	-1.09
Quincy Douby	57	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-13	10	15.5	17.1	-1.57	12.7	11.5	1.21
Spencer Hawes	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-13	10	16.1	16.3	-0.19	12.0	12.3	-0.32
Kenny Thomas	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-3	-10	15.9	16.4	-0.43	11.8	12.3	-0.47
John Salmons	86	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-13	10	16.5	14.7	1.83	12.4	10.9	1.45
Francisco Garcia	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.25	-24	8	-32	16.5	15.5	0.98	12.0	12.6	-0.60
Kevin Martin	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.36	-28	12	-40	16.4	16.0	0.39	11.5	13.5	-2.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	61	64	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.41	34	-18	52	11.6	13.0	-1.43	16.6	15.6	1.00
Grant Hill	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.44	31	-15	46	11.4	13.0	-1.53	17.3	15.1	2.18
Boris Diaw	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	8	0	12.4	11.7	0.73	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Shawn Marion	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.31	22	-6	28	11.5	13.3	-1.76	16.3	16.1	0.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	40	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	2	12	11.1	12.9	-1.80	17.2	15.6	1.63
Steve Nash	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	0	16	11.7	12.7	-1.03	16.3	16.1	0.23
Marcus Banks	64	63	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.44	-11	27	-38	12.6	11.4	1.19	15.8	17.0	-1.24
Brian Skinner	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	16	-16	14.0	11.3	2.71	16.4	16.2	0.22
Alando Tucker	26	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	28	-40	13.5	11.7	1.84	15.3	16.5	-1.17
DJ Strawberry	28	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	28	-40	13.4	11.7	1.74	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Sean Marks	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	26	-36	12.6	12.1	0.57	15.6	16.4	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 82, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
IND 95, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%