NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	68		Excitement	3.8 [633]		MVP	Matt Harpring (ORL): +1.3%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	1.1 [552]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -15.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	10	60%	-0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.02	-0.10	15	36%	-0.06	6	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	15	22%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	3	62%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	15	56%	0.08	5	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.02	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	30.0	18.0	30.1	2.3	37.5	144.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.6%

ORL +4.8%

PHI -0.8%

ORL +3.0%

ORL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.8	73.1	84.0	99.6
season	15.6	16.1		97.0	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		95.7	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.4	15.3	15.1	12.0	15.0
ORL	17.6	16.7	13.7	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerald Honeycutt	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	13.0	15.0	-2.00	20.0	15.8	4.23
George Lynch	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-10	9	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.4	15.3	1.13
Larry Hughes	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-10	9	14.5	15.6	-1.13	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Tyrone Hill	39	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-6	1	13.8	15.9	-2.08	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Aaron McKie	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-10	9	12.6	18.4	-5.73	14.6	17.5	-2.89
Theo Ratliff	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	14.7	15.7	-0.93	16.4	14.0	2.41
Allen Iverson	87	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.6	20.7	-6.08	15.7	17.7	-2.05
Matt Geiger	56	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	8	-27	17.8	10.7	7.15	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Eric Snow	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	6	-23	16.1	13.0	3.12	16.5	14.6	1.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Austin	63	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-8	27	16.7	14.1	2.62	16.6	11.8	4.78
Anfernee Hardaway	84	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	2	7	16.2	12.7	3.49	15.2	13.2	2.04
Nick Anderson	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-3	17	16.4	13.6	2.82	15.6	12.7	2.84
Matt Harpring	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	4	3	13.8	18.4	-4.52	13.6	16.9	-3.39
Horace Grant	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	8	-5	15.9	15.6	0.37	15.2	14.4	0.82
Darrell Armstrong	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	5	1	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.5	16.0	-1.56
Bo Outlaw	46	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	10	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.67	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Michael Doleac	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	15	-19	13.9	16.4	-2.55	13.1	15.6	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, MIL 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 94, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.7%
DET 76, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%