NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	3.6 [1068]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +16.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	117		Comeback	1.2 [918]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (TOR): -4.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sonny Weems	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	14	86%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.01	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	-0.00	14	73%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	76%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.01	0.08	9	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.06	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	32.3	15.7	30.2	2.5	27.5	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +18.1%

MIL +9.9%

MIL +9.7%

MIL +7.2%

MIL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.3	102.2	128.6	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		109.6	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	18.2	14.8	13.4	15.1
MIL	17.2	15.2	13.4	19.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick O'Bryant	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-17	12	17.2	15.0	2.18	17.2	16.1	1.08
Marcus Banks	31	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-19	16	15.8	14.8	0.95	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-18	14	17.6	14.9	2.63	14.3	16.3	-2.05
Sonny Weems	32	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-13	4	14.3	15.6	-1.21	18.3	14.9	3.38
Rasho Nesterovic	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-16	10	16.2	14.7	1.41	14.3	16.9	-2.56
Amir Johnson	29	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-14	6	14.3	15.5	-1.26	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Hedo Turkoglu	60	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-13	4	15.4	14.7	0.64	16.5	15.5	0.99
DeMar DeRozan	47	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-11	0	15.7	14.6	1.14	16.5	15.9	0.67
Antoine Wright	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-13	4	14.9	15.3	-0.39	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Marco Belinelli	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-7	-8	14.7	15.6	-0.88	15.9	16.5	-0.67
Chris Bosh	76	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.0	15.9	-0.98	16.2	16.1	0.07
Jarrett Jack	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-3	-16	14.8	15.8	-0.95	16.7	15.0	1.68

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	50	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	6	10	16.0	16.3	-0.30	15.8	14.2	1.61
Roko Leni Ukic	47	46	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	2	18	16.2	16.2	-0.01	15.8	14.4	1.40
Luc Mbah a Moute	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	4	14	16.3	15.5	0.77	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Ersan Ilyasova	61	64	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	5	12	16.3	15.9	0.41	15.2	15.1	0.10
Brandon Jennings	64	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	12	-2	16.5	15.5	0.93	14.6	16.5	-1.83
Carlos Delfino	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	4	14	16.6	14.8	1.85	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Luke Ridnour	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	14	-6	16.9	15.8	1.13	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Hakim Warrick	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	21	-20	14.8	16.8	-1.99	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Jodie Meeks	31	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	20	-18	14.7	16.9	-2.17	15.5	15.0	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 94, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.8%
PHI 68, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 83, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%