NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	8.0 [144]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +9.0%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	1.3 [291]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -24.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	18	55%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	5	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
George Lynch	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	29	46%	0.02	6	-0.14	7	57%	-0.05
Eric Snow	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	5	37%	-0.10	4	-0.14	9	56%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	22	36%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	14	60%	0.12	7	-0.26	2	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	13	45%	-0.14	1	-0.02	16	69%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.6	38.0	19.0	26.3	2.6	37.3	153.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.9%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +24.2%

PHI +1.8%

ORL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.8	110.6	96.8	99.6
season	15.6	16.1		97.0	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		95.7	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	16.4	16.8	13.4	15.0
ORL	14.5	15.6	17.5	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	64	63	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.17	20	-6	26	15.0	14.9	0.08	16.0	15.4	0.61
Matt Geiger	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-2	18	15.7	11.3	4.39	15.9	15.4	0.54
Allen Iverson	88	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	0	14	14.6	20.7	-6.10	16.0	13.6	2.38
Theo Ratliff	39	38	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	10	-6	15.5	14.6	0.86	17.4	14.8	2.57
Eric Snow	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.1	18.2	-3.09
Aaron McKie	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	4	6	14.4	15.2	-0.79	16.8	15.4	1.32
Nazr Mohammed	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	8.3	15.2	-6.84	11.0	16.0	-4.96
Tyrone Hill	42	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	13	-12	15.0	14.9	0.08	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Jerald Honeycutt	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	16	-18	18.9	14.4	4.54	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Larry Hughes	34	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	16	-18	13.9	15.5	-1.59	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Rick Mahorn	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	17	-20	12.2	15.2	-2.96	13.5	16.1	-2.57

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	29	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	-10	6	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.9	15.0	-0.09
B.J. Armstrong	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-15	16	10.6	16.1	-5.55	12.0	15.2	-3.16
Michael Doleac	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-15	16	17.4	14.9	2.53	16.8	13.9	2.89
Matt Harpring	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	13.9	17.3	-3.33	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Derek Strong	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-7	0	14.2	16.8	-2.54	15.3	14.8	0.53
Horace Grant	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-9	4	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Ike Austin	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	15.2	16.7	-1.54	14.7	15.3	-0.68
Anfernee Hardaway	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	1	-16	15.9	15.8	0.03	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Nick Anderson	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-4	-6	17.2	13.3	3.87	15.3	14.3	0.93
Darrell Armstrong	78	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	1	-16	16.5	12.5	4.03	15.0	14.8	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	94.2%
ORL 86, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.08,0	93.2%
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%