inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 104 Excitement6.8 [461] MVPRudy Fernandez (POR): +36.8%
Miami Heat 96 Comeback1.6 [552] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -10.8%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.370.200.190.011183%0.412-0.048100%0.04
Joel Przybilla0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.01478%0.0800.001100%0.01
Sergio Rodriguez0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.002125%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.070.050.020.01580%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Roy0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.060.030.040.001356%0.133-0.061377%0.03
Channing Frye0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.031336%-0.021-0.03250%-0.03
Greg Oden-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00337%-0.022-0.04250%-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.001736%-0.022-0.07540%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.00767%0.1300.001100%0.01
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.10-0.050.022261%0.114-0.081573%-0.02
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00970%0.123-0.102100%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.01850%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.02-0.021439%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.05-0.03450%0.075-0.18683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.733.317.730.42.536.6149.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +19.2%
POR +3.3%
MIA -2.6%
POR +29.1%
POR +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORMIANBAPORMIANBA
this game16.414.915.5111.8105.5106.4
season16.716.0111.0105.9
opponent15.716.0105.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR19.416.414.615.816.4
MIA16.613.614.814.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sergio Rodriguez35350.60-0.100.690.3680818.415.23.2414.315.2-0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge75730.440.060.390.3053216.017.9-1.9015.014.20.82
Brandon Roy69680.350.150.200.1571616.017.5-1.4115.014.60.42
Travis Outlaw57570.310.190.130.2817-616.216.8-0.6514.016.3-2.31
Rudy Fernandez59580.300.200.110.1944015.817.4-1.5314.315.8-1.52
Nicolas Batum27260.290.210.080.039-11017.715.91.8816.314.31.95
Channing Frye21210.250.250.000.1344018.415.82.5514.814.9-0.15
Joel Przybilla41400.150.35-0.200.0344016.416.40.0516.213.82.45
Steve Blake49460.030.47-0.43-0.0844015.117.8-2.6815.114.70.38
Greg Oden3231-0.230.73-0.97-0.06-614-2016.816.20.6214.415.1-0.80

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-8816.414.32.0416.016.6-0.61
Mark Blount2123-0.01-0.490.47-0.103-111414.415.0-0.6514.717.0-2.33
Daequan Cook6769-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-101214.017.3-3.2815.917.9-1.98
Chris Quinn5660-0.12-0.380.27-0.151-91014.615.3-0.7115.817.5-1.62
Yakhouba Diawara2020-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-4017.414.23.2318.215.92.28
Dwyane Wade7173-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.363-111414.615.7-1.0516.615.51.09
Michael Beasley6364-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-91-1015.014.50.5516.615.90.69
Udonis Haslem7374-0.520.02-0.55-0.23-102-1214.416.9-2.5716.914.42.50
Mario Chalmers5957-0.940.44-1.39-0.18-2618-4415.513.71.8916.715.90.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 104, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,094.2%
LAC 98, MEM 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.01,092.7%
SEA 93, CHI 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.02,0,0,092.2%