NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	4.0 [975]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +7.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.4 [409]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -10.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	17	72%	0.14	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	13	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	22	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	0.06	13	52%	-0.07	2	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	29.0	16.8	25.2	2.4	42.6	144.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.9%

POR -1.0%

LAL +3.8%

POR -8.1%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.6	119.6	106.5	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		110.0	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	15.5	15.4	14.3	14.7
POR	19.9	16.5	14.6	15.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	70	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.08	21	-10	31	14.4	15.8	-1.39	16.5	16.3	0.18
Nick Van Exel	59	62	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.18	28	-17	45	14.6	14.8	-0.20	16.5	16.2	0.27
Shaquille O'Neal	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-8	27	15.6	10.9	4.76	16.8	14.8	2.05
Rick Fox	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-8	27	16.2	9.7	6.54	17.1	14.1	2.93
Corie Blount	35	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	3	5	15.5	14.3	1.19	17.6	15.7	1.91
Robert Horry	49	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	13	-15	14.3	15.2	-0.88	15.4	17.6	-2.25
Elden Campbell	26	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	14	-17	11.8	15.8	-4.00	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Derek Fisher	33	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.36	-17	28	-45	14.8	14.6	0.20	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Eddie Jones	43	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.32	-18	29	-47	12.8	16.4	-3.62	15.2	17.4	-2.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	8	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-11	11	11.6	16.9	-5.23	16.8	14.6	2.20
Stacey Augmon	14	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-9	7	14.6	16.7	-2.08	18.3	14.2	4.04
Brian Grant	58	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-12	13	17.9	14.0	3.86	16.5	11.4	5.13
Gary Grant	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-4	-3	13.2	16.6	-3.47	10.6	15.0	-4.35
Arvydas Sabonis	61	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	17.5	14.2	3.29	16.4	11.7	4.66
Kelvin Cato	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-8	5	14.9	17.1	-2.23	12.4	15.9	-3.56
Rasheed Wallace	60	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	16.3	16.6	-0.31	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Damon Stoudamire	89	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	16.4	17.5	-1.14	14.7	16.3	-1.67
Walt Williams	53	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	2	-15	16.4	16.4	0.06	13.5	16.5	-3.04
Isaiah Rider	86	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	2	-15	16.2	18.7	-2.49	13.9	22.0	-8.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, MIN 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DET 89, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 108, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%