NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	4.8 [895]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +5.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.5 [396]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -16.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	14	65%	0.10	4	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	19	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	26	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	20	47%	-0.02	7	-0.15	13	92%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	34.0	15.5	28.4	1.8	30.3	135.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.7%

PHI -6.3%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +23.3%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	15.5	109.1	98.0	104.0
season	13.5	13.9		112.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	16.0		101.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	14.3	15.5	18.7	15.5
PHI	13.8	12.0	14.5	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	77	78	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.01	25	-15	40	15.4	15.5	-0.12	13.9	12.0	1.92
Joe Johnson	83	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-3	16	15.4	15.9	-0.50	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Shawn Marion	89	89	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	15.7	13.6	2.06	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	15.0	16.7	-1.64	14.3	11.3	2.97
Leandro Barbosa	21	23	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	17.1	15.0	2.08	12.5	13.8	-1.27
Steve Nash	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	14.7	17.1	-2.41	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Jake Voskuhl	53	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	17	-24	15.8	15.1	0.69	12.7	14.5	-1.76
Casey Jacobsen	19	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	16.1	15.3	0.74	15.5	13.0	2.56
Jackson Vroman	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	16.3	15.4	0.94	13.1	13.5	-0.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	11.2	13.8	-2.56	19.0	15.1	3.90
Corliss Williamson	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-9	8	13.5	13.5	-0.03	16.0	15.3	0.65
Aaron McKie	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-10	10	14.1	13.1	0.93	15.8	15.3	0.50
Brian Skinner	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	10.0	14.1	-4.07	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Samuel Dalembert	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-6	2	14.5	13.0	1.56	15.7	15.3	0.38
Marc Jackson	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.2	0.56	15.6	15.3	0.34
Andre Iguodala	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-11	12	14.4	12.3	2.13	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Kyle Korver	47	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	12.3	14.6	-2.27	16.6	14.5	2.06
Willie Green	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.62	15.5	15.3	0.22
Kenny Thomas	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	3	-16	13.9	12.8	1.06	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Allen Iverson	83	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	8	-26	13.4	13.8	-0.39	14.9	18.5	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 110, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 93, CHH 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHA 91, GSW 75	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%