NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	3.8 [1071]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +2.3%
Indiana Pacers	76		Comeback	1.6 [371]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -15.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	20	41%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	16	39%	0.03	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	20	60%	0.09	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.06	13	64%	0.01	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	6	7%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.00	-0.00	15	29%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	15	49%	0.01	7	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.4	36.7	18.4	31.5	3.5	31.4	153.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.9%

DET +2.2%

DET +9.8%

DET +11.0%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.5	97.8	87.4	104.0
season	16.7	16.8		103.5	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.3	17.7	15.5	25.2	17.0
IND	16.6	14.3	13.9	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	87	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	0	13	16.9	19.0	-2.14	15.4	14.5	0.91
Rasheed Wallace	75	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-6	25	16.9	17.4	-0.51	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Tayshaun Prince	76	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	16.8	17.9	-1.17	15.1	16.5	-1.33
Antonio McDyess	39	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	0	13	16.1	17.6	-1.45	15.4	15.3	0.09
Chauncey Billups	76	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	17.1	16.1	1.06	15.1	17.0	-1.95
Ben Wallace	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	10	-7	17.7	15.9	1.85	16.4	13.8	2.67
Carlos Arroyo	23	22	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	16.3	17.2	-0.93	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Lindsey Hunter	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	16	-19	17.6	16.7	0.82	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Darvin Ham	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.0	16.9	2.07	0.0	15.4	-15.37
Ronald Dupree	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.3	16.9	2.46	15.7	15.4	0.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.7	15.4	0.31	19.3	16.9	2.46
Austin Croshere	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-16	19	14.5	15.5	-0.96	24.3	16.1	8.19
James Jones	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-13	13	14.8	15.7	-0.90	18.8	15.7	3.11
Fred Jones	29	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	15.7	15.2	0.43	17.8	16.5	1.24
Jamaal Tinsley	50	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-8	3	15.2	15.6	-0.39	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Anthony Johnson	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	15.6	15.2	0.39	17.6	16.5	1.11
Dale Davis	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	-4	-5	15.7	15.0	0.73	14.0	19.8	-5.85
Jeff Foster	22	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	0	-13	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.4	17.9	-3.51
Jermaine O'Neal	68	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.4	15.3	0.07	17.8	13.7	4.07
Reggie Miller	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-8	3	15.5	15.0	0.47	16.6	18.0	-1.44
Stephen Jackson	71	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	15.2	16.3	-1.16	16.8	17.5	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 110, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHI 97, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0	95.0%
UTA 109, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%