NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	3.2 [1111]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +7.7%
Atlanta Hawks	80		Comeback	1.2 [560]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -12.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	6	33%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	22	55%	0.04	5	-0.07	5	60%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	-0.07	25	37%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	3	58%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	19	42%	-0.03	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	381.0	2.5	30.5	21.7	27.6	2.6	-681.5	-215.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.4%

CHI +5.6%

ATL -4.1%

CHI +0.7%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.6	15.6	100.0	90.9	104.4
season	15.5	16.4		110.5	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	15.2	15.2	17.8	15.9
ATL	17.2	19.0	16.9	13.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	16.5	14.5	1.92	16.9	15.8	1.11
Michael Jordan	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	7	-5	16.8	11.6	5.19	17.4	12.2	5.22
Jason Caffey	47	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-5	19	17.3	14.5	2.82	17.8	15.3	2.50
Bison Dele	33	31	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.12	15	-6	21	13.9	17.2	-3.28	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Steve Kerr	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	5	-1	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.6	16.6	0.03
Ron Harper	45	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	-2	13	16.0	15.9	0.16	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Luc Longley	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	12	-15	18.4	14.3	4.15	18.4	15.4	2.98
Toni Kukoc	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.34	-7	16	-23	15.2	16.8	-1.55	15.3	18.1	-2.85
Dennis Rodman	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	5	-1	12.6	17.1	-4.50	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Randy Brown	10	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	12.8	16.3	-3.54	13.9	16.9	-3.05
Jud Buechler	10	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	16	-23	15.6	16.0	-0.39	13.3	17.1	-3.79
Robert Parish	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	8	-7	14.4	16.3	-1.91	14.4	17.1	-2.72

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.42	12	-21	33	15.3	17.3	-1.98	16.9	15.4	1.42
Henry James	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-8	7	15.2	17.5	-2.38	14.6	16.9	-2.28
Alan Henderson	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	0	-9	17.9	15.9	2.01	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Darrin Hancock	6	6	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.11	-10	1	-11	17.2	16.6	0.61	8.5	16.5	-7.98
Tyrone Corbin	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	2	-13	19.1	15.4	3.67	17.3	15.3	2.08
Dikembe Mutombo	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-7	5	16.6	16.5	0.10	16.3	14.6	1.73
Mookie Blaylock	85	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	16.4	23.7	-7.31	15.9	17.5	-1.59
Christian Laettner	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	16.7	14.4	2.33	16.3	11.0	5.30
Steven Smith	79	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	5	-19	16.7	15.8	0.92	15.7	18.4	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
CHA 102, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SEA 114, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%