inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 120 Excitement2.8 [1229] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +16.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 89 Comeback1.1 [1132] LVPMetta World Peace (LAL): -9.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.020.031674%0.161-0.00367%-0.01
Matt Bonner0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.013100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02867%0.0500.002100%0.01
Tony Parker0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.01-0.041465%0.105-0.06367%-0.00
Danny Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.010.06779%0.0400.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.120.000.10693%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Cory Joseph0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.02-0.02850%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Nando De Colo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Neal-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041035%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03467%0.012-0.041100%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04536%-0.023-0.02475%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Goudelock0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.00-0.041756%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.010.021653%0.022-0.011547%-0.05
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01550%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darius Morris0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.11-0.000.131565%0.013-0.03771%-0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.031052%-0.002-0.031100%-0.00
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.130.00-0.09922%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0060%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.831.217.425.63.727.3134.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.0%
SAS +3.7%
SAS +1.7%
LAL -0.6%
SAS +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game14.315.615.4123.792.7104.1
season15.214.9106.4106.0
opponent15.315.1105.799.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.414.713.814.314.3
LAL16.217.414.414.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan61610.420.080.34-0.252381514.713.61.1216.314.22.14
Kawhi Leonard53520.350.150.19-0.091516-114.813.71.0716.514.51.96
Tony Parker53530.340.160.17-0.101516-114.813.71.1116.114.91.27
Danny Green46470.330.170.15-0.231912714.314.3-0.0516.414.81.65
Matt Bonner43450.270.230.04-0.051120-913.714.8-1.1016.015.20.74
Tiago Splitter46430.240.26-0.02-0.02922-1313.614.9-1.3815.915.30.58
Manu Ginobili42410.170.33-0.15-0.00625-1914.214.3-0.1315.115.9-0.85
Cory Joseph35350.160.34-0.17-0.131021-1113.414.8-1.3915.315.7-0.48
Gary Neal47460.130.37-0.25-0.281417-314.014.6-0.6414.516.5-2.00
DeJuan Blair30310.100.40-0.31-0.311417-314.914.00.8913.916.4-2.50
Nando De Colo980.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1914.814.20.5413.115.8-2.66
Patty Mills980.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1914.814.20.5413.115.8-2.66
Aron Baynes11100.000.50-0.50-0.21724-1714.814.20.6013.015.9-2.86

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Hill2122-0.05-0.450.400.30-12-19713.816.1-2.2413.714.5-0.73
Metta World Peace3232-0.18-0.320.14-0.01-6-251918.214.24.0314.214.3-0.15
Earl Clark5251-0.20-0.300.100.39-20-11-915.415.7-0.3014.114.5-0.44
Antawn Jamison4445-0.23-0.270.050.36-20-11-913.417.4-3.9314.014.6-0.58
Pau Gasol6565-0.34-0.16-0.170.10-15-16116.014.61.4014.713.51.22
Chris Duhon5152-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-17314.916.4-1.4913.914.8-0.91
Dwight Howard6061-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-14-17316.214.51.7414.414.10.37
Darius Morris7476-0.38-0.12-0.250.45-28-3-2515.615.30.3814.314.20.13
Andrew Goudelock8181-0.41-0.09-0.310.36-26-5-2115.714.70.9814.612.71.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 118, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
LAL 96, UTA 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
CHI 89, ATL 800.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,096.6%