NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	3.3 [1126]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +12.5%
Utah Jazz	81		Comeback	1.0 [486]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	-0.00	11	82%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	9	83%	0.16	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	15	69%	0.11	6	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	27%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	7	93%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	14	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	13	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	30.1	15.8	32.2	2.7	27.4	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.3%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +4.5%

LAL +3.9%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.8	15.3	102.1	86.2	106.0
season	15.7	15.3		107.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	14.2	15.9	20.2	15.9
UTA	16.2	14.6	13.6	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-5	25	15.0	19.2	-4.28	15.1	13.4	1.74
Lamar Odom	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-4	23	15.6	16.6	-1.00	15.1	13.7	1.46
Pau Gasol	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	15.6	17.4	-1.74	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Jordan Farmar	48	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	4	7	16.0	15.8	0.15	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Sasha Vujacic	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	7	1	15.3	16.2	-0.94	13.1	15.7	-2.52
Metta World Peace	69	68	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	20	-25	17.2	12.3	4.91	15.1	13.8	1.36
Derek Fisher	55	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	11	-7	16.4	15.1	1.29	15.1	14.3	0.82
Luke Walton	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	13	-11	16.3	15.8	0.44	15.3	14.7	0.61
Josh Powell	21	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	13	-11	15.9	15.9	-0.03	14.4	14.9	-0.45
DJ Mbenga	8	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	12	-9	15.6	15.9	-0.28	15.2	14.7	0.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	17.0	14.7	2.34	20.4	15.6	4.77
Kyrylo Fesenko	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	17.0	14.7	2.34	20.4	15.6	4.77
Kyle Korver	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-13	11	13.1	15.0	-1.95	16.2	15.8	0.39
Wesley Matthews	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-16	17	14.1	15.1	-0.98	18.1	14.6	3.46
Andrei Kirilenko	71	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-13	11	14.9	14.2	0.71	16.7	13.7	2.98
Mehmet Okur	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-11	7	15.6	13.8	1.79	16.0	15.8	0.16
Paul Millsap	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	13.6	15.5	-1.87	14.8	16.6	-1.84
Ronnie Price	32	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-6	-3	14.5	14.9	-0.34	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Deron Williams	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-11	7	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.5	13.1	3.43
CJ Miles	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	0	-15	13.3	15.5	-2.19	14.2	16.8	-2.53
Ronnie Brewer	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.6	13.8	1.83	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Carlos Boozer	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	4	-23	15.1	13.8	1.36	14.7	18.8	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MEM 98, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAS 120, SEA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%