NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	102		Excitement	2.8 [1204]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +13.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	1.4 [475]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -9.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.01	0.07	10	90%	0.17	4	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	5	108%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.00	-0.08	19	49%	0.11	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	7	21%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	62%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.00	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	14	39%	-0.07	2	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	33.2	16.5	29.9	1.8	27.0	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.9%

CHA +11.3%

PHI -10.1%

CHA +14.1%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.3	108.5	91.6	106.0
season	16.2	15.1		103.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.4		108.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	16.7	15.2	18.7	16.1
PHI	18.1	13.3	15.4	10.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.31	26	-11	37	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.3	11.0	4.30
Boris Diaw	60	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	-6	27	15.8	16.7	-0.94	15.3	12.9	2.34
Gerald Wallace	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	7	1	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.6	13.5	1.01
D.J. Augustin	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	13	-11	15.6	16.9	-1.25	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Theo Ratliff	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	0	15	15.8	16.4	-0.60	15.9	13.1	2.76
Raymond Felton	53	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	7	1	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.8	13.8	1.04
Tyson Chandler	29	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	9	-3	14.9	16.7	-1.75	14.5	14.3	0.20
Tyrus Thomas	47	49	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	21	-27	17.0	15.3	1.77	12.5	16.3	-3.88
Stephen Graham	3	3	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	11	-7	10.7	16.3	-5.65	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Gerald Henderson	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	18	-21	18.0	15.6	2.34	10.8	15.4	-4.59
Derrick Brown	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	19.2	15.8	3.41	11.0	14.7	-3.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	11.3	14.7	-3.41	19.1	15.8	3.31
Jason Smith	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-15	15	11.9	15.4	-3.43	18.0	15.4	2.66
Rodney Carney	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-15	15	12.7	15.5	-2.85	17.1	15.4	1.67
Willie Green	44	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-14	13	13.1	15.4	-2.26	16.6	15.8	0.88
Lou Williams	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	1	-17	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.2	17.4	-2.24
Thaddeus Young	57	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-11	7	13.7	15.4	-1.70	16.3	15.9	0.41
Andre Iguodala	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-2	-11	15.3	12.9	2.38	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Jrue Holiday	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-7	-1	14.6	13.5	1.16	16.4	15.1	1.34
Samuel Dalembert	45	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	7	-29	16.2	12.6	3.60	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Elton Brand	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	0	-15	15.5	11.9	3.53	15.5	17.7	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DAL 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.6%