inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement2.9 [1201] MVPDarko Milicic (ORL): +8.5%
Miami Heat 83 Comeback1.2 [339] LVPAntoine Walker (MIA): -5.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darko Milicic0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.00675%0.0910.004100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01567%0.0500.002100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.011853%0.071-0.012100%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.05841%0.0310.001100%0.00
Tony Battie0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03850%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.03862%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00677%0.065-0.041050%-0.04
Grant Hill-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.021144%0.012-0.043100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.000.061065%0.061-0.021173%-0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.04467%0.0300.00450%-0.01
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.06970%0.031-0.012100%0.00
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.041136%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.02450%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00542%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031334%-0.021-0.033100%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03941%-0.013-0.04450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.829.215.425.92.033.0132.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +32.2%
ORL +0.3%
ORL +11.3%
ORL +5.5%
ORL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game17.817.115.4118.3100.0104.5
season15.916.0103.4102.4
opponent15.615.7104.3103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.317.020.219.317.8
MIA18.114.319.816.717.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu61620.420.080.340.011401417.020.1-3.1317.615.52.11
Grant Hill40420.360.140.23-0.051401417.018.6-1.6018.915.33.61
Jameer Nelson51520.320.180.140.0595417.618.2-0.6617.915.82.11
Tony Battie46470.320.180.140.03104618.017.60.3718.315.52.87
Dwight Howard55570.300.200.110.0495418.516.42.1018.613.74.96
Keyon Dooling35360.190.31-0.130.07410-618.517.31.1715.918.0-2.13
Darko Milicic47470.180.32-0.140.12212-1017.917.70.1315.319.4-4.15
Trevor Ariza29290.160.34-0.180.04410-618.717.31.3515.218.1-2.85
JJ Redick38360.130.37-0.240.10113-1218.417.31.0815.118.6-3.55
Bo Outlaw870.110.39-0.270.03311-814.718.1-3.4011.117.6-6.50

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Barron660.00-0.500.50-0.155-192414.817.3-2.4418.517.80.74
Chris Quinn2626-0.01-0.490.48-0.155-192414.818.1-3.3317.917.80.10
Michael Doleac1818-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-161815.917.4-1.5417.817.80.02
Udonis Haslem2021-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-121020.016.23.8319.517.22.23
Alonzo Mourning2524-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-5-416.717.3-0.6018.417.60.85
Dorell Wright5151-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.14-4-10615.419.9-4.5217.618.2-0.66
James Posey6261-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-7-7017.316.40.9618.715.23.53
Antoine Walker4543-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-11-3-816.617.6-0.9916.918.8-1.86
Shaquille O'Neal5756-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-2-1017.915.22.7217.817.80.01
Eddie Jones4443-0.45-0.05-0.400.11-195-2418.415.62.7516.918.8-1.86
Jason Williams6161-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-184-2217.715.52.2317.518.9-1.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 102, PHI 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
LAC 114, BKN 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,096.6%
DAL 95, UTA 830.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,096.6%