inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 79 Excitement7.5 [321] MVPTyrone Corbin (ATL): +13.8%
Atlanta Hawks 84 Comeback5.3 [287] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -45.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Dumars0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.090.041164%0.131-0.013100%0.05
Terry Mills0.060,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.060.050.050.041350%0.0600.0000%0.00
Grant Long0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.02250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.030.101749%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.060.01-0.050.02762%0.012-0.072100%0.01
Rick Mahorn-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.000.0720%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.030.0150%-0.091-0.0400%0.00
Grant Hill-0.450,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.45,-0.45-0.13-0.290.032439%-0.293-0.16650%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.040.09-0.011055%0.1400.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.050.050.010.060.021761%0.164-0.114100%0.02
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.030.011157%0.051-0.03837%-0.10
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00260%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.01948%0.003-0.14989%-0.01
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18-0.18-0.11-0.08-0.011739%-0.073-0.11450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.630.117.727.32.635.0140.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +50.8%
DET -13.9%
ATL +14.1%
DET -11.1%
ATL +10.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game18.317.515.697.5105.0104.4
season17.116.4107.6105.3
opponent16.016.2100.3102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.119.717.918.618.3
ATL17.118.215.619.317.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Mahorn25250.06-0.560.61-0.064-91319.117.91.1917.817.30.47
Aaron McKie2220-0.02-0.480.450.12-50-517.118.7-1.6512.719.1-6.37
Grant Long1311-0.13-0.370.240.11-83-1118.218.3-0.0814.118.0-3.92
Terry Mills6768-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.412-7918.517.31.2218.014.63.40
Lindsey Hunter7776-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-3-2-118.219.7-1.5317.615.22.34
Otis Thorpe5554-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.31-61-718.018.8-0.8117.816.71.10
Grant Hill7676-0.510.01-0.51-0.42-3-2-118.023.0-5.0117.713.04.71
Joe Dumars7070-0.580.08-0.65-0.40-61-718.815.03.8118.113.15.00

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith73750.63-0.130.750.369-41317.616.31.3018.515.53.02
Tyrone Corbin66650.59-0.090.680.4741318.512.95.6018.517.50.99
Mookie Blaylock74750.57-0.070.640.377-2917.320.0-2.7318.318.00.32
Dikembe Mutombo72740.52-0.020.530.288-31117.219.7-2.5318.813.35.48
Christian Laettner75740.470.030.440.3541317.615.62.0018.219.1-0.93
Alan Henderson1212-0.070.57-0.650.04-49-1319.417.12.2817.518.4-0.93
Eldridge Recasner2830-0.200.70-0.90-0.11-38-1114.918.9-3.9716.619.3-2.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.63,0.47,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 95, DAL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.73,191.0%
NOP 119, DAL 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.85,190.9%
CHH 82, PHX 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.85,0.96,190.9%