NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	9.4 [137]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +24.9%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	3.3 [453]		LVP	Darius Miller (NOP): -8.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.07	0.02	16	66%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Frank Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	100%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	60%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	26	56%	0.17	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.15,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	16	51%	0.14	2	-0.13	13	85%	0.08
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	7	80%	0.25	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	13	69%	0.31	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	12	57%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	7	91%	0.27	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.02
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	13	55%	0.15	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.10
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.8	30.0	14.5	29.4	2.6	32.5	140.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.6%

DAL +13.1%

DAL +13.7%

NOP -0.5%

NOP -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	14.3	116.7	117.3	109.3
season	13.4	14.7		110.2	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.2		109.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.0	13.4	13.6	14.6	13.7
DAL	14.2	14.2	14.6	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	79	81	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-17	31	13.9	12.8	1.13	14.4	14.0	0.33
Jahlil Okafor	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-4	5	14.8	13.0	1.78	13.1	15.0	-1.93
Tim Frazier	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-2	1	13.9	13.4	0.45	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Jrue Holiday	75	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-10	17	13.4	14.4	-0.97	14.7	13.0	1.76
Solomon Hill	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	0	-3	14.9	12.8	2.08	12.8	15.3	-2.42
Frank Jackson	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	2	-7	14.2	13.4	0.72	13.3	14.7	-1.48
Darius Miller	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	0	-3	13.0	14.9	-1.96	15.2	12.6	2.56
E'Twaun Moore	57	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	10	-23	13.3	14.1	-0.77	14.9	13.5	1.40
Anthony Davis	73	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	9	-21	12.9	15.6	-2.70	14.8	13.1	1.66

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	68	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	15.1	12.7	2.45	12.8	15.1	-2.23
J.J. Barea	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-1	5	14.1	14.6	-0.51	14.2	12.9	1.32
Harrison Barnes	67	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	1	1	15.3	12.5	2.77	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Wesley Matthews	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	4	-5	15.4	12.7	2.62	12.8	14.9	-2.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	2	-1	11.8	16.1	-4.30	14.5	13.0	1.52
DeAndre Jordan	64	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	3	-3	15.1	13.0	2.15	13.1	14.5	-1.43
Maxi Kleber	54	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	-2	7	15.4	13.2	2.19	13.3	14.0	-0.73
Dwight Powell	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	0	3	13.3	14.9	-1.58	14.8	13.0	1.84
Devin Harris	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	1	1	12.5	15.3	-2.77	15.2	12.8	2.39
Salah Mejri	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	14.4	-14.44	4.0	13.8	-9.75
Dirk Nowitzki	24	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	11.9	15.0	-3.15	15.7	13.0	2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.8%
POR 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,1	91.5%
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	91.4%