NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	7.4 [340]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +30.8%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	3.2 [514]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -14.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	24	65%	0.25	6	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nate McMillan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	15	59%	0.02	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.05
Terry Cummings	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.07	0.06	8	56%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	5	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	0.08	10	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.20	-0.03	14	68%	0.34	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.07	0.01	14	81%	0.27	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	17	48%	-0.04	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	32.4	17.4	24.4	2.3	31.6	132.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.9%

SEA -1.2%

SEA -0.6%

PHX +4.0%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	113.2	119.6	104.4
season	14.9	14.6		108.9	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		106.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.8	15.5	17.0	16.7	16.0
PHX	13.5	17.2	14.9	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	54	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-16	25	16.1	15.7	0.45	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Nate McMillan	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.1	-1.65	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Greg Graham	13	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	12.7	16.5	-3.82	16.9	15.2	1.62
Shawn Kemp	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.3	17.5	-2.21	15.0	16.7	-1.78
David Wingate	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	2	-11	16.9	15.4	1.56	16.7	14.8	1.85
Sam Perkins	34	34	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	16.6	15.6	1.04	17.1	14.6	2.46
Detlef Schrempf	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	16.2	14.7	1.55	14.8	18.4	-3.58
Hersey Hawkins	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.7	0.32	15.6	14.6	0.97
Gary Payton	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	16.1	12.7	3.36	15.4	17.0	-1.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	77	76	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.10	22	-15	37	15.6	15.3	0.29	16.4	13.7	2.67
Rex Chapman	70	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-6	19	14.9	17.3	-2.38	15.6	17.1	-1.56
Hot Rod Williams	47	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	15.5	15.5	-0.00	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Jason Kidd	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	15.2	17.4	-2.26	15.7	17.6	-1.92
Cedric Ceballos	43	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	17.5	13.8	3.71	17.2	14.9	2.31
Kevin Johnson	79	78	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	2	3	15.4	16.2	-0.84	16.2	14.5	1.67
Danny Manning	50	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	12	-17	15.4	15.6	-0.20	15.7	16.3	-0.55
Wayman Tisdale	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	15.6	15.5	0.07	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Steve Nash	1	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	11.0	15.6	-4.56	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Mark Bryant	8	9	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	18	-29	15.0	15.6	-0.56	12.4	16.4	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.81,0.85,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.75,0.81,0.95,0.99,1	92.2%
MIA 90, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.9,1	91.3%
DEN 101, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.94,1,1	91.2%