NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	138		Excitement	9.8 [93]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +43.0%
New York Knicks	135		Comeback	1999.0 [2]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): -10.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.43	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.43	0.12	0.33	0.02	23	62%	0.46	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.04,0.25	0.03	0.24	0.01	10	68%	0.37	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25	0.00	0.23	-0.02	9	44%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Aaron Nesmith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1	0.32	-0.02	0.20	13	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Thomas Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	16	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.03	11	58%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,-0.07,0.19,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.21	0.03	25	67%	0.71	7	-0.38	14	86%	0.16
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25	0.25	0.27	0.06	0.09	17	78%	0.28	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	15	47%	0.21	3	-0.23	4	50%	-0.06
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.01	6	57%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	33.6	16.6	32.2	3.4	48.7	2.7	17.0	185.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.6%

NYK -27.6%

NYK -8.3%

IND +55.5%

NYK -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	16.0	14.4	129.0	123.9	113.1
season	13.9	15.3		115.3	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.7		112.9	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.5	11.3	17.8	13.2	11.1	13.4
NYK	17.2	13.5	19.1	16.8	13.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	79	81	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.50	10	-7	17	12.8	15.0	-2.19	16.2	16.2	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	84	85	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-12	27	13.4	13.2	0.21	16.6	14.7	1.89
Pascal Siakam	87	90	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	12.5	17.1	-4.57	16.3	15.8	0.42
Andrew Nembhard	68	73	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.58	1	2	-1	13.7	12.9	0.76	16.4	15.8	0.53
Obi Toppin	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	-6	15	14.4	12.8	1.66	14.2	17.4	-3.15
Ben Sheppard	13	13	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	-11	25	10.4	13.8	-3.41	21.0	15.4	5.64
Myles Turner	64	65	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	6	-9	13.7	13.0	0.68	16.2	16.1	0.15
Thomas Bryant	25	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	14	-25	13.4	13.4	0.02	18.9	15.5	3.41
T.J. McConnell	31	28	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	17	-31	13.7	13.3	0.41	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Bennedict Mathurin	44	42	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.01	-14	17	-31	14.9	12.3	2.59	14.9	17.0	-2.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	77	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-12	21	16.9	14.3	2.52	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Cameron Payne	21	21	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-8	13	13.2	16.9	-3.72	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Miles McBride	55	54	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.30	12	-15	27	14.5	18.0	-3.53	13.9	12.9	0.98
Delon Wright	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	6.0	16.3	-10.28	20.0	13.3	6.68
Jalen Brunson	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	5	-13	17.3	13.8	3.49	13.6	13.0	0.56
Mitchell Robinson	43	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	15.7	16.5	-0.73	14.4	12.8	1.59
Josh Hart	89	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	16.5	14.6	1.89	13.3	13.8	-0.57
OG Anunoby	86	86	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.37	-12	9	-21	16.1	16.4	-0.22	12.8	15.8	-3.02
Mikal Bridges	93	95	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.46	-15	12	-27	16.5	14.5	2.00	13.3	14.1	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.54,0.54,0.78,0.31,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	89.8%
LAL 106, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	89.0%
TOR 82, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	88.5%