NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	8.4 [184]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +31.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	63.9 [27]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -19.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.3	0.07	0.26	0.02	31	54%	0.40	3	-0.10	7	86%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.12	0.01	13	80%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.3,0.21	0.00	0.21	0.01	15	56%	0.32	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.04
Lamar Odom	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	8	72%	0.22	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.22	-0.02	16	58%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	47%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	18	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.09	-0.08	0.01	18	66%	0.08	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	10	32%	0.07	6	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	28.2	15.6	25.0	1.8	30.3	1.8	17.2	146.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.1%

LAL +15.8%

LAL +1.2%

LAL +3.8%

POR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.9	15.5	110.4	107.4	105.7
season	15.9	16.5		108.8	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.6	16.9	15.9	18.2	14.5	16.5
POR	15.4	17.4	15.4	21.8	14.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	77	75	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.60	9	-4	13	16.8	15.3	1.52	16.4	19.2	-2.77
Metta World Peace	80	77	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.43	14	-9	23	16.4	17.4	-1.01	16.4	19.4	-3.01
Derek Fisher	51	52	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.13	20	-15	35	16.3	16.8	-0.55	16.4	17.6	-1.13
Kobe Bryant	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	16.2	18.7	-2.50	16.6	19.3	-2.63
Lamar Odom	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	17.4	15.7	1.63	18.8	15.1	3.72
Luke Walton	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	16.5	16.5	-0.03	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Derrick Caracter	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	12.5	16.8	-4.30	17.3	16.9	0.41
Andrew Bynum	59	58	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.21	-3	8	-11	16.7	16.3	0.38	16.5	17.7	-1.21
Shannon Brown	31	29	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.17	-14	19	-33	16.3	16.6	-0.36	18.5	16.2	2.27
Steve Blake	29	27	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.16	-15	20	-35	17.9	16.0	1.91	19.3	16.0	3.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	25	25	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.08	8	-13	21	20.3	15.7	4.60	17.3	16.3	1.01
Dante Cunningham	19	21	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.05	3	-8	11	20.3	16.1	4.22	17.8	16.2	1.58
Armon Johnson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	5.0	17.1	-12.08	2.0	16.7	-14.68
Joel Przybilla	48	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-3	1	15.7	18.2	-2.49	16.8	16.2	0.60
Rudy Fernandez	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	18.2	14.3	3.92	16.5	16.7	-0.19
LaMarcus Aldridge	88	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	16.6	21.8	-5.22	16.3	19.7	-3.43
Nicolas Batum	79	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	2	-9	16.8	17.7	-0.86	16.6	16.4	0.19
Andre Miller	68	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.45	-11	6	-17	15.5	20.6	-5.07	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Wesley Matthews	79	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	11	-27	16.6	18.5	-1.89	16.5	16.7	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.27,0	91.4%
DAL 108, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.28,0	91.1%
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	90.5%