NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	6.9 [474]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +43.5%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	6.6 [95]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): -12.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.23	0.18	-0.03	28	71%	0.52	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.05	0.02	12	74%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.10	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	6	39%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.10	0.03	25	66%	0.30	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.15	0.02	14	71%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.15	-0.03	21	55%	0.23	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	15	74%	0.21	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.6	32.2	15.4	31.1	2.7	36.5	147.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.7%

BOS -10.4%

NYK +15.8%

NYK +9.9%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.4	120.2	128.7	113.0
season	15.3	15.2		118.4	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	15.5	17.4	13.8	15.1
NYK	14.4	18.1	14.5	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-6	4	17.3	14.7	2.59	17.4	15.2	2.20
Jaylen Brown	66	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-7	6	14.2	17.1	-2.83	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Payton Pritchard	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-10	12	15.0	15.1	-0.15	14.3	16.6	-2.25
Kristaps Porzingis	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	16.1	14.2	1.85	16.3	14.9	1.48
Jayson Tatum	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	1	-10	15.8	12.1	3.73	16.0	14.0	1.97
Jrue Holiday	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	4	-16	14.6	16.5	-1.84	15.8	15.0	0.82
Al Horford	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	0	-8	14.9	15.8	-0.95	15.1	17.3	-2.14
Derrick White	86	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	14.8	18.1	-3.32	15.4	17.5	-2.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	85	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	15.9	12.4	3.44	15.2	14.4	0.78
Jalen Brunson	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	15.1	18.1	-2.93	14.6	18.2	-3.65
OG Anunoby	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	4	0	15.4	16.3	-0.93	14.6	17.5	-2.91
Josh Hart	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	0	8	15.3	15.9	-0.58	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Mitchell Robinson	49	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	2	4	16.6	14.4	2.21	15.6	14.6	1.06
Miles McBride	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.14	3	5	-2	15.7	15.5	0.25	16.4	14.2	2.13
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	71	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	9	-10	15.0	17.4	-2.43	15.4	14.1	1.32
Cameron Payne	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	17.5	15.4	2.13	18.1	14.8	3.32
Precious Achiuwa	1	2	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	14.0	15.6	-1.57	11.5	15.2	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.81,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.34,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.99,1	92.2%
WAS 98, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.93,1,0.99,1	92.1%
MIL 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	91.4%