NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	6.2 [678]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +16.7%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.7 [725]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -38.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.08	-0.02	10	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Darius Garland	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.15	0.06	0.07	16	66%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	5	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.23	-0.13	0.03	18	29%	-0.24	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	18	53%	0.17	0	0.00	13	62%	-0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.03	22	63%	0.25	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	16	51%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	32.2	15.8	28.4	3.5	33.4	142.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.0%

CLE -2.1%

NYK +17.4%

CLE -0.5%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	14.4	103.3	113.3	113.4
season	15.1	15.1		114.0	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	13.8	17.1	15.7	15.5
NYK	14.9	16.9	17.2	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	65	67	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-11	13	15.1	16.7	-1.59	16.9	15.3	1.62
Ricky Rubio	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-11	13	16.9	15.3	1.60	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Isaac Okoro	32	32	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-10	11	16.4	15.1	1.35	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Danny Green	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-1	-7	14.4	15.6	-1.20	19.0	16.3	2.75
Darius Garland	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.5	16.4	0.14
Donovan Mitchell	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.2	17.3	-2.07	17.0	13.2	3.71
Caris LeVert	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	2	-13	15.2	16.9	-1.71	16.8	14.9	1.88
Jarrett Allen	75	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.8	14.4	1.36	16.6	15.7	0.94
Cedi Osman	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	-4	-1	15.6	15.4	0.21	14.8	17.9	-3.05

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	36	36	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	17.5	15.8	1.77	15.9	15.3	0.59
Isaiah Hartenstein	37	38	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-1	11	15.4	17.2	-1.76	17.8	13.9	3.86
Jalen Brunson	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	16.3	17.9	-1.61	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Immanuel Quickley	34	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-2	13	16.3	16.6	-0.32	16.8	14.8	2.03
Josh Hart	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	16.3	17.1	-0.72	15.2	17.5	-2.33
RJ Barrett	72	72	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	16.8	15.2	1.56	15.1	17.1	-1.97
Miles McBride	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	9	-9	17.9	16.3	1.61	16.1	15.5	0.64
Mitchell Robinson	53	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	10	-11	17.2	15.4	1.76	13.9	17.8	-3.86
Julius Randle	53	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	15.6	17.7	-2.05	15.5	15.5	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 112, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.9%
CHA 93, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%