NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	6.2 [518]		MVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (LAC): +33.1%
LA Clippers	116		Comeback	1.8 [323]		LVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): -5.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.15	0.04	0.05	11	88%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	17	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.13	0.04	0.07	27	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.16	-0.03	11	77%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.03	0.05	7	94%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	14	63%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	14	50%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	24	50%	0.14	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.05
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	0.2	25.1	14.8	29.2	3.5	45.4	142.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.5%

LAC +17.6%

LAC +12.3%

UTA -1.7%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	12.7	16.1	14.4	110.9	117.2	111.3
season	14.5	14.9		116.4	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.5	12.8	13.4	11.3	12.7
LAC	14.8	17.2	16.6	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	34	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-5	6	14.0	12.0	1.96	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-12	20	12.2	13.9	-1.75	16.4	15.4	1.00
Royce O'Neale	76	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	12.6	13.1	-0.50	17.0	13.7	3.31
Georges Niang	20	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	2	-8	14.1	12.4	1.74	15.8	16.2	-0.46
Donovan Mitchell	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-9	14	12.1	14.0	-1.89	16.6	14.8	1.83
Joe Ingles	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	12.6	12.8	-0.12	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Mike Conley	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	3	-10	12.5	13.0	-0.47	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Rudy Gobert	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	1	-6	12.1	13.8	-1.64	16.6	15.2	1.33
Jordan Clarkson	58	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	11	-26	13.8	11.2	2.68	15.4	17.1	-1.73

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	57	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-6	16	15.7	16.7	-0.97	12.3	13.3	-0.96
Paul George	54	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	-2	8	15.9	16.4	-0.53	13.0	12.3	0.68
Lou Williams	52	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-3	10	15.8	16.5	-0.76	13.5	11.8	1.74
Patrick Beverley	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	1	2	16.6	15.7	0.95	12.3	13.2	-0.91
Terance Mann	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	2	0	15.0	16.6	-1.55	13.5	12.4	1.14
Kawhi Leonard	79	79	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.42	-9	13	-22	16.2	15.7	0.48	12.3	14.0	-1.66
Nicolas Batum	64	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	9	-14	16.3	15.8	0.51	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Reggie Jackson	30	31	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	3	-2	17.6	15.5	2.11	11.5	13.2	-1.76
Amir Coffey	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	16.1	-16.13	2.0	12.8	-10.81
Serge Ibaka	44	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	11	-18	17.6	14.9	2.67	13.0	12.4	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
SAC 80, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.2%
UTA 89, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%