NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	80		Excitement	6.2 [556]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +12.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	2.2 [615]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -17.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	14	21%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	11	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	12	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	14	31%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	30.2	15.7	27.4	2.6	33.2	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.1%

MIN +10.9%

MIN +21.8%

SAC -2.0%

MIN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.4	84.2	97.9	104.1
season	15.0	15.6		104.7	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		103.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.9	13.7	13.3	14.4	14.4
MIN	14.0	15.1	19.5	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	38	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-5	-2	14.4	14.3	0.06	18.5	14.6	3.93
Travis Outlaw	19	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-8	4	13.8	14.5	-0.64	13.2	16.8	-3.60
Isaiah Thomas	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-5	-2	14.0	14.8	-0.84	17.7	14.4	3.23
Aaron Brooks	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	15.6	14.1	1.47	11.9	16.9	-4.99
DeMarcus Cousins	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-7	2	14.3	14.4	-0.04	16.4	15.9	0.49
Francisco Garcia	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.5	14.3	0.25	17.5	15.5	2.01
Jimmer Fredette	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-12	12	14.4	14.3	0.06	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Thomas Robinson	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.4	16.4	-0.92
Jason Thompson	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	14.2	14.8	-0.65	16.3	15.6	0.74
Charles Hayes	41	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-11	10	15.1	13.8	1.39	14.7	17.1	-2.37
Tyreke Evans	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.72	16.7	15.2	1.55
Marcus Thornton	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-9	6	14.4	14.4	-0.00	14.9	18.0	-3.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	54	56	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.08	26	-14	40	15.7	16.7	-1.08	14.6	14.1	0.48
Dante Cunningham	50	51	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.13	21	-9	30	15.8	16.5	-0.70	14.4	14.3	0.03
Chase Budinger	41	43	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-2	16	15.1	16.9	-1.74	15.5	13.4	2.07
Andrei Kirilenko	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	5	2	17.1	14.6	2.48	14.1	14.8	-0.65
Alexey Shved	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	3	6	14.1	17.1	-2.98	15.1	14.0	1.10
Nikola Pekovic	63	61	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	16.5	15.5	1.01	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Greg Stiemsma	31	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	15.5	16.5	-1.01	15.4	13.8	1.60
Brandon Roy	60	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	16	-20	17.1	14.4	2.78	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Derrick Williams	42	41	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	23	-34	16.2	16.1	0.11	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Luke Ridnour	40	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	26	-40	16.7	15.7	1.08	14.1	14.6	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
SAS 94, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	92.2%
LAL 111, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.32,0.45,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.2%