NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	6.8 [456]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +34.5%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	2.1 [265]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.34	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.34	0.20	0.12	-0.02	38	57%	0.35	1	-0.00	10	100%	0.08
Josh Powell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.02	0.05	18	71%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	12	81%	0.27	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	18	69%	0.27	6	-0.14	12	58%	-0.08
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	87%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	17	51%	0.13	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	32%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.5	37.5	19.7	28.5	3.0	43.3	160.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.3%

LAL -2.8%

LAL -12.9%

PHX +16.4%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.5	109.9	118.0	106.4
season	14.9	14.1		110.6	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	14.6	14.9	11.7	14.2
PHX	14.7	13.1	15.1	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	28	26	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-10	13	15.2	13.8	1.33	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Sasha Vujacic	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	15.1	13.9	1.24	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Lamar Odom	48	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-6	5	14.6	13.9	0.70	14.9	14.0	0.90
DJ Mbenga	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	12.8	14.5	-1.67	14.6	14.4	0.22
Josh Powell	34	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	15.8	13.4	2.42	13.2	15.0	-1.84
Trevor Ariza	64	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-9	11	13.2	15.9	-2.73	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Luke Walton	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.4	-0.33	14.9	13.8	1.06
Derek Fisher	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	0	-7	13.6	15.2	-1.62	14.3	14.7	-0.33
Pau Gasol	84	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.6	12.1	2.53	14.7	13.4	1.28
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	4	-15	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.7	13.4	1.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-9	25	15.5	12.0	3.49	14.3	14.1	0.22
Leandro Barbosa	90	91	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-3	13	14.4	14.5	-0.07	14.3	13.1	1.24
Grant Hill	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	14.9	13.1	1.79	14.4	13.8	0.55
Lou Amundson	54	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-1	9	12.7	16.5	-3.77	14.5	13.9	0.57
Jason Richardson	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	11	-15	14.5	14.2	0.28	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Matt Barnes	88	90	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	14.5	13.7	0.78	13.9	16.7	-2.82
Jared Dudley	31	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	4	-1	14.0	14.7	-0.68	15.1	13.8	1.27
Robin Lopez	8	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	13	-19	13.0	14.6	-1.57	14.8	14.2	0.65
Goran Dragic	10	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.12	-3	10	-13	14.5	14.4	0.07	13.1	14.3	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.32,0.45,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 80, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.2%
PHI 71, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.1%
ORL 82, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%