NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	5.8 [663]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +22.0%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.1 [609]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (ATL): -17.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.08	0.04	9	100%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	61%	0.08	5	-0.11	8	62%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06
Keyon Dooling	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	24%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	14%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	19	66%	0.22	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	6	77%	0.19	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Freije	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	46%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.01	0.01	10	25%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	33.0	15.5	28.6	1.8	28.2	136.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.3%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.4	86.3	101.1	104.5
season	15.9	16.1		103.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	13.6	16.3	14.3	14.9
ATL	15.5	14.1	15.7	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.0	15.0	-0.96	3.7	15.9	-12.27
Jameer Nelson	45	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Dwight Howard	48	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-15	17	14.5	15.4	-0.88	17.6	13.4	4.19
Bo Outlaw	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-12	11	13.8	15.4	-1.55	15.2	15.7	-0.43
Grant Hill	57	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-9	5	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Pat Garrity	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-12	11	15.6	14.8	0.80	18.3	14.9	3.38
Tony Battie	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.3	15.8	-0.46
Keith Bogans	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.0	-0.25	15.8	15.4	0.43
Keyon Dooling	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.0	16.0	-2.03	15.8	15.3	0.46
Hedo Turkoglu	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	15.4	14.4	0.98	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Carlos Arroyo	50	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	1	-15	14.2	15.8	-1.56	16.0	15.0	0.96
Darko Milicic	50	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	5	-23	15.0	14.9	0.13	13.7	17.7	-3.98

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	2	9	15.2	17.0	-1.78	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Speedy Claxton	57	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-2	17	15.7	15.4	0.32	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Zaza Pachulia	47	49	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	3	7	16.0	15.1	0.87	16.0	13.8	2.28
Joe Johnson	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	16.5	13.6	2.90	15.0	14.9	0.05
Josh Smith	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	4	5	15.6	15.2	0.43	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Lorenzen Wright	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	9	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.14	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Cedric Bozeman	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	11	-9	14.2	16.0	-1.78	15.6	14.7	0.91
Shelden Williams	26	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	9	-5	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Matt Freije	1	2	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	10	-7	8.0	15.6	-7.62	10.0	15.0	-5.04
Tyronn Lue	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	15	-17	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.8	14.4	1.39
Solomon Jones	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	15	-17	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.6	15.0	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1	93.9%
PHX 98, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
GSW 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%