inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 100 Excitement5.4 [747] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +22.6%
Boston Celtics 116 Comeback1.1 [921] LVPAndrew Wiggins (GSW): -7.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.150.090.012269%0.323-0.091100%0.00
Klay Thompson0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.030.011762%0.1700.006100%0.03
Otto Porter Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.013100%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Moses Moody0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Damion Lee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Poole-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.02-0.05856%0.043-0.04250%-0.02
Gary Payton II-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Nemanja Bjelica-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00475%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Draymond Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.021650%0.013-0.08475%-0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.020.07-0.072350%0.162-0.01683%0.03
Jaylen Brown0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.000.021671%0.162-0.03683%-0.01
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.01762%0.111-0.02250%-0.02
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.02580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.01769%0.0500.0020%-0.02
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.030.021759%0.155-0.11771%0.00
Payton Pritchard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Malik Fitts00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Morgan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02937%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.43.430.415.632.22.832.3145.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +12.9%
GSW -1.1%
BOS +22.7%
BOS +14.5%
BOS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWBOSNBAGSWBOSNBA
this game13.416.714.5106.4119.6110.8
season14.214.9112.2112.2
opponent14.714.9105.7106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.012.912.813.913.4
BOS14.815.917.019.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala540.01-0.510.520.07-2-12109.813.9-4.0816.216.8-0.55
Otto Porter Jr.3739-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-182214.213.30.8618.315.72.58
Nemanja Bjelica66-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-121017.313.43.9417.216.80.41
Klay Thompson7476-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-11813.813.10.6517.114.92.21
Kevon Looney3739-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-7013.413.8-0.3813.719.1-5.45
Jordan Poole4344-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.24-4-10613.513.8-0.2316.916.70.21
Gary Payton II2623-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.00-13-1-1213.113.9-0.7615.017.4-2.32
Stephen Curry7476-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.03-140-1413.315.2-1.9417.015.91.09
Draymond Green6768-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.05-13-1-1213.913.00.8217.514.72.85
Andrew Wiggins8180-0.46-0.04-0.430.01-162-1813.812.71.1016.916.00.89

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Williams III49500.66-0.160.830.0521-52617.116.10.9914.712.42.33
Marcus Smart80800.57-0.070.640.0119-32216.617.0-0.4413.415.7-2.34
Jayson Tatum82800.450.050.400.041421216.715.71.0313.713.50.25
Grant Williams38390.420.080.340.1697216.616.6-0.0214.613.01.56
Payton Pritchard22210.380.120.26-0.061511414.017.4-3.4414.213.50.68
Jaylen Brown80780.180.32-0.14-0.0279-216.616.7-0.1513.415.4-2.00
Al Horford62590.030.47-0.45-0.1879-216.716.40.2813.114.8-1.71
Sam Hauser540.000.50-0.500.00016-1618.416.61.787.513.7-6.16
Aaron Nesmith010.000.50-0.500.00016-160.016.6-16.6215.013.71.34
Derrick White4746-0.190.69-0.880.16-1228-4017.216.01.1713.214.2-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, ATL 1200.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
BKN 111, DET 1220.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.7%
DAL 107, TOR 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,193.9%