inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 107 Excitement5.6 [749] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +16.9%
Toronto Raptors 116 Comeback1.0 [1170] LVPJ.J. Barea (DAL): -14.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.01-0.021469%0.153-0.064100%0.02
DeAndre Jordan0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.011062%0.122-0.04989%0.04
Wesley Matthews0.070,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.010.041570%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01650%0.0300.00475%0.01
Daryl Macon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.012100%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Jalen Brunson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.021136%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.020.04642%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.03-0.041736%-0.051-0.01560%-0.04
J.J. Barea-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.011129%-0.102-0.04250%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.130.03-0.011467%0.1700.00250%-0.01
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.01-0.01879%0.1600.003100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.001655%0.0800.006100%0.02
Lorenzo Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00856%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.031647%0.051-0.01475%0.01
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.01683%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.02856%0.113-0.092100%0.01
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001100%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Malachi Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.021341%0.015-0.121100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.01.826.614.827.32.425.5128.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +55.0%
DAL -2.5%
DAL -6.8%
TOR +2.2%
TOR +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game14.313.814.3104.9112.6109.3
season14.714.3108.5111.5
opponent14.514.1105.9109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.214.614.612.914.3
TOR12.014.214.814.213.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daryl Macon22-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-12158.514.4-5.9517.513.73.81
Luka Doncic7272-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-9914.613.70.9414.312.51.79
DeAndre Jordan6970-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-9914.514.00.4514.412.51.84
Dorian Finney-Smith4445-0.14-0.360.23-0.202-111313.415.0-1.5913.713.8-0.06
Jalen Brunson5862-0.21-0.290.07-0.13-3-6315.213.21.9114.313.01.31
J.J. Barea3836-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-4-113.414.9-1.4512.114.7-2.59
Maxi Kleber6566-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.27-1-8713.615.6-2.0614.312.91.37
Wesley Matthews6968-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.09-8-1-714.713.61.0313.614.1-0.53
Dwight Powell3333-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-90-914.014.5-0.4512.514.4-1.84
Harrison Barnes6061-0.700.20-0.900.01-2415-3915.113.31.7813.214.6-1.48

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam81800.55-0.050.590.2211-21313.913.40.5114.214.9-0.68
Kawhi Leonard76750.370.130.240.2254113.913.30.6914.115.0-0.91
Norman Powell42440.360.140.210.1281712.214.8-2.6214.614.20.41
Jonas Valanciunas45460.340.160.19-0.0112-31513.514.0-0.4515.413.42.01
Lorenzo Brown34360.340.160.190.2054112.614.3-1.7614.214.4-0.21
Kyle Lowry76730.240.26-0.030.0663314.212.71.4914.414.10.27
Danny Green64610.230.27-0.030.1245-114.312.91.4414.713.71.01
Serge Ibaka58560.160.34-0.190.24-312-1514.013.50.4513.415.4-2.01
Malachi Richardson17160.040.46-0.42-0.0227-513.813.80.0713.914.4-0.54
CJ Miles2223-0.130.63-0.750.02-514-1914.513.60.9914.414.30.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 92, DET 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.3%
UTA 95, LAC 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.3%
NYK 103, DET 1200.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.3%