NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	4.0 [893]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +34.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	119.5 [4]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -20.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.36,0.35	0.16	0.26	0.07	23	60%	0.37	2	-0.03	19	89%	0.12
Danilo Gallinari	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2	0.10	0.12	0.01	10	73%	0.21	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.02	0.09	12	68%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	35%	-0.01	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.07	11	68%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.30	-0.04	0.16	19	86%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	150%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.03	20	70%	0.09	5	-0.04	13	85%	-0.06
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	36%	-0.01	2	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.13	-0.07	11	18%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	36.5	16.4	30.6	3.3	43.5	159.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +3.8%

ATL +33.7%

ATL +3.7%

ATL +10.3%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.4	111.2	107.1	111.3
season	14.7	14.5		112.8	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.5		106.7	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	13.6	13.2	13.7	14.1
PHI	13.4	15.2	14.5	17.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	43	45	0.89	-0.39	1.29	-0.02	31	-28	59	13.8	14.3	-0.45	16.6	13.9	2.67
Danilo Gallinari	63	62	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	14.0	14.3	-0.26	14.9	15.6	-0.72
John Collins	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.62	-3	6	-9	14.1	13.9	0.23	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Clint Capela	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.73	-8	11	-19	14.6	12.1	2.44	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Trae Young	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.55	-6	9	-15	14.5	11.9	2.65	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Solomon Hill	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.29	13	-10	23	12.7	14.6	-1.96	16.8	14.6	2.21
Onyeka Okongwu	16	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.29	12	-9	21	12.6	14.4	-1.75	16.2	14.9	1.32
Tony Snell	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	14.7	14.1	0.61	11.7	15.4	-3.70
Bogdan Bogdanovic	44	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	13	-23	14.1	14.1	0.04	15.6	14.8	0.80
Kevin Huerter	57	57	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.36	-23	26	-49	14.0	14.2	-0.22	14.5	16.0	-1.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	60	60	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.39	22	-25	47	14.2	16.6	-2.43	14.3	13.7	0.58
George Hill	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.23	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.0	0.67	12.3	14.7	-2.43
Tyrese Maxey	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	2	-7	16.3	15.1	1.23	8.3	14.3	-5.94
Dwight Howard	19	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.35	-14	11	-25	16.3	14.9	1.39	11.8	14.6	-2.82
Shake Milton	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	5	-13	17.1	14.4	2.68	12.9	14.5	-1.56
Ben Simmons	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.57	7	-10	17	14.3	18.5	-4.27	14.9	11.1	3.76
Joel Embiid	80	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.77	11	-14	25	14.9	16.3	-1.39	14.6	11.8	2.82
Seth Curry	77	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.70	6	-9	15	14.9	15.9	-0.99	14.6	12.3	2.29
Matisse Thybulle	49	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	14	-31	15.8	14.5	1.26	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Tobias Harris	77	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	7	-17	15.7	13.1	2.58	13.9	14.8	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.76,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.68,0.27,0	95.0%
SEA 114, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.89,0.42,0	94.8%
DEN 95, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.87,0.72,0	92.1%