NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	5.1 [717]		MVP	Clint Capela (ATL): +13.7%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.5 [507]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	7	87%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Trae Young	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.04	0.04	28	51%	0.08	4	-0.05	15	87%	0.06
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	6%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	61%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	21	50%	0.05	8	-0.20	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.6	29.5	15.7	28.5	3.3	31.3	140.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.2%

ATL +12.0%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +19.6%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	14.4	112.0	97.8	111.3
season	14.7	15.2		112.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	14.4	17.4	17.2	15.7
NYK	15.1	15.6	16.9	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	66	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-5	24	15.5	16.4	-0.91	15.8	15.6	0.18
Clint Capela	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-7	28	15.2	17.6	-2.40	15.4	17.2	-1.84
Trae Young	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-2	18	15.9	14.8	1.11	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-2	18	15.6	16.0	-0.42	15.7	15.9	-0.22
John Collins	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	1	12	15.4	16.7	-1.33	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Onyeka Okongwu	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	12	-10	19.4	15.3	4.12	16.6	15.6	0.96
Kevin Huerter	39	37	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	17	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.8	15.7	0.11
Lou Williams	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	16	-18	14.8	15.9	-1.11	16.2	15.7	0.54
Danilo Gallinari	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	22	-30	16.4	15.3	1.09	16.5	15.3	1.21
Solomon Hill	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	18	-22	19.4	15.2	4.13	15.6	15.8	-0.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	29	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-15	16	15.0	16.1	-1.05	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Alec Burks	43	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-18	22	16.0	15.5	0.57	17.1	14.5	2.56
Obi Toppin	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-14	14	16.8	15.5	1.35	14.5	16.1	-1.51
Immanuel Quickley	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-4	-6	16.1	15.6	0.52	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Derrick Rose	52	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	15.5	16.1	-0.58	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Reggie Bullock	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-2	-10	15.7	15.9	-0.23	16.0	14.2	1.79
Julius Randle	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	0	-14	15.5	16.8	-1.35	16.2	14.1	2.05
RJ Barrett	76	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	-1	-12	15.7	16.2	-0.54	15.3	17.8	-2.48
Taj Gibson	62	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	1	-16	16.1	15.0	1.05	16.0	15.1	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 116, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 115, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
ORL 105, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%