NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.7 [360]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +17.2%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.7 [818]		LVP	PJ Tucker (HOU): -9.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	19	64%	0.27	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Nene	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	28	50%	0.13	4	-0.11	14	93%	0.05
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.18	5	-0.17	7	57%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	7	78%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.14	-0.01	25	54%	0.31	6	-0.18	15	80%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	2	33%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.11	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	48%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.0	27.0	14.8	33.5	2.7	40.5	150.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.2%

HOU -10.2%

GSW +25.9%

HOU -0.5%

GSW +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	13.6	14.3	102.0	105.1	109.3
season	14.8	13.4		114.0	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.4		108.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	16.7	15.2	16.4	15.6
GSW	12.1	13.9	13.0	15.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	25	28	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-11	18	16.2	15.4	0.80	13.5	13.6	-0.10
Danuel House Jr.	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-7	10	15.9	15.4	0.52	12.3	14.6	-2.32
PJ Tucker	79	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.39	9	-13	22	16.0	14.3	1.71	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Iman Shumpert	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-7	10	14.2	16.9	-2.69	13.8	13.4	0.41
James Harden	77	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-7	10	16.3	13.3	2.94	13.1	15.7	-2.52
Eric Gordon	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	1	-6	15.6	15.6	0.01	13.5	13.9	-0.40
Gerald Green	14	15	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	12	-28	15.1	15.7	-0.67	15.7	13.2	2.43
Chris Paul	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	3	-10	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.3	11.7	2.58
Clint Capela	57	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	13	-30	15.4	16.0	-0.53	14.1	13.1	0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	82	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-6	16	13.3	15.2	-1.90	15.9	14.4	1.49
Andre Iguodala	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-1	6	13.7	13.5	0.18	16.3	14.3	1.93
Klay Thompson	86	85	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	13.4	15.2	-1.87	15.7	15.5	0.21
Kevin Durant	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	13.2	17.4	-4.22	15.8	14.0	1.83
Stephen Curry	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	0	4	13.2	14.9	-1.65	15.8	15.0	0.78
Shaun Livingston	29	31	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-7	18	15.6	12.8	2.75	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Jordan Bell	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	13.6	-13.61	2.0	15.8	-13.78
Andrew Bogut	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	14.1	13.6	0.55	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Kevon Looney	35	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	13.9	13.5	0.43	15.8	15.6	0.24
Alfonzo McKinnie	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	11	-18	15.6	13.1	2.50	13.7	16.1	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	92.4%
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	92.1%
CLE 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%