NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	6.8 [487]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +18.4%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.2 [968]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -17.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	9	44%	0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	17	66%	0.19	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	9	60%	-0.02	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.18	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.13	-0.05	24	46%	-0.00	4	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	15	67%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	25	67%	0.31	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	14	46%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	31.0	15.6	23.2	1.7	35.8	131.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.3%

SAC +1.6%

LAC -25.7%

SAC +34.7%

SAC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	15.5	101.1	103.1	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		103.0	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	14.0	17.0	18.6	16.3
SAC	13.6	13.7	13.5	15.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	31	32	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-11	18	17.4	15.7	1.69	14.8	13.7	1.14
Quinton Ross	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	23.0	15.4	7.64	16.8	13.7	3.14
Zeljko Rebraca	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-4	4	18.1	15.2	2.87	16.1	12.9	3.20
Corey Maggette	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	14.9	18.2	-3.28	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Chris Kaman	73	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	15.8	17.9	-2.12	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Bobby Simmons	72	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	2	-8	15.3	19.3	-4.00	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Kerry Kittles	50	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	17.3	15.0	2.32	14.2	14.0	0.24
Elton Brand	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	16.1	17.3	-1.20	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Rick Brunson	63	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	7	-18	15.7	17.4	-1.69	13.7	14.8	-1.14

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	83	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-4	12	13.5	17.5	-4.00	16.2	16.6	-0.37
Mike Bibby	73	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-2	8	13.2	16.8	-3.61	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Darius Songaila	43	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-2	8	14.9	13.4	1.45	17.4	15.4	2.04
Peja Stojakovic	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	1	2	13.8	15.2	-1.33	16.3	15.9	0.46
Cuttino Mobley	76	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	13.8	15.1	-1.28	15.3	19.6	-4.31
Maurice Evans	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	2	0	15.1	13.4	1.74	17.9	15.2	2.74
Brad Miller	57	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	13.8	14.5	-0.72	15.6	17.3	-1.73
Eddie House	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	16.8	13.2	3.61	17.4	15.9	1.50
Greg Ostertag	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.1	13.8	3.34	15.8	16.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 104, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	93.2%
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	93.1%
BKN 93, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.0%