NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	6.4 [585]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (TOR): +20.3%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.3 [346]		LVP	Danny Green (TOR): -24.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.12	0.02	22	58%	0.23	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Joel Embiid	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	-0.09	0.15	-0.02	7	55%	0.20	6	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Greg Monroe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonah Bolden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	52%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.03	0.04	24	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	6	36%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	25	40%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	8	19%	-0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	32.5	15.6	30.4	3.3	33.7	146.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.4%

PHI +10.7%

PHI +1.2%

TOR -6.3%

PHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.3	98.9	92.7	109.3
season	14.0	14.3		110.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		105.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	14.7	15.9	17.6	15.5
TOR	16.0	12.6	14.7	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	85	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	15.4	16.5	-1.12	14.8	13.6	1.23
Joel Embiid	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	14.8	17.2	-2.49	14.8	14.3	0.51
Tobias Harris	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	15.2	16.5	-1.35	15.3	13.0	2.31
James Ennis III	47	46	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	-2	9	15.7	15.2	0.49	14.0	15.3	-1.36
Ben Simmons	87	90	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	15.2	18.2	-3.01	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Jonah Bolden	18	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	17.1	15.1	1.99	15.6	14.5	1.07
Greg Monroe	21	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.8	14.6	0.17
JJ Redick	73	74	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	10	-15	15.7	14.9	0.82	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Amir Johnson	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	18.2	15.4	2.88	16.5	14.6	1.91
Boban Marjanovic	2	3	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	10	-15	24.0	15.3	8.69	7.7	14.9	-7.23

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	65	64	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.33	13	-18	31	14.1	15.8	-1.73	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Marc Gasol	69	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-12	19	14.7	14.7	0.00	15.8	14.9	0.90
Jodie Meeks	2	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	21.5	14.5	6.98	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Kawhi Leonard	83	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-9	13	14.8	13.8	0.95	15.6	15.1	0.50
Kyle Lowry	87	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-6	7	14.3	18.0	-3.68	15.6	14.8	0.77
Pascal Siakam	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-5	5	14.7	14.7	-0.06	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Serge Ibaka	27	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	7	-19	14.7	14.7	-0.00	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Norman Powell	30	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	12	-29	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Fred VanVleet	35	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	12	-29	15.7	14.1	1.60	15.6	15.4	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 103, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0	94.9%
LAC 90, MEM 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
POR 105, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	94.4%