NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	7.9 [293]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +43.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	3.9 [515]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): -13.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.44	0.31	0.13	0.00	23	81%	0.51	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	4	80%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.04	0.01	16	31%	0.03	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	11	62%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	28	52%	0.18	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.00	13	65%	0.11	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.06
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	8	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	14	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.4	28.4	14.7	29.0	2.8	32.2	139.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +80.3%

CLE -9.9%

CLE -32.0%

GSW +14.8%

CLE -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	16.8	14.7	117.0	107.4	107.5
season	13.7	14.8		112.6	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.1		110.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	15.2	14.0	13.9	13.7
CLE	17.6	13.6	18.8	17.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	84	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-7	22	13.2	17.7	-4.51	17.3	12.3	5.02
Klay Thompson	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	13.2	15.9	-2.66	17.7	12.1	5.61
Andre Iguodala	38	36	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-6	20	14.7	13.0	1.70	19.3	15.3	4.01
Stephen Curry	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	8	-8	13.2	15.9	-2.73	17.3	14.4	2.90
Draymond Green	81	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	10	-12	13.5	14.9	-1.45	17.1	15.0	2.13
JaVale McGee	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	5	-2	11.0	14.9	-3.92	17.8	16.3	1.51
Shaun Livingston	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	15.8	12.3	3.46	13.4	18.9	-5.48
Patrick McCaw	2	3	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	7	-6	19.0	13.6	5.45	6.3	17.1	-10.80
Kevon Looney	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	13.7	-13.67	1.0	17.0	-15.96
Jordan Bell	22	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	8	-8	14.6	13.4	1.20	14.4	17.6	-3.19
David West	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.6	13.4	2.23	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Nick Young	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	17.7	13.2	4.51	11.3	17.5	-6.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	13.4	17.9	-4.43	14.4	13.4	1.00
George Hill	55	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	17.5	15.8	1.62	12.6	15.1	-2.49
Jeff Green	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	13.3	19.0	-5.72	15.2	12.7	2.50
Larry Nance Jr.	31	30	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	12.9	18.7	-5.77	14.4	13.3	1.12
Tristan Thompson	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	19.0	12.7	6.22	13.6	13.7	-0.09
Kevin Love	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-7	6	18.8	13.3	5.46	13.0	14.8	-1.80
JR Smith	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	18.5	13.1	5.34	12.8	15.4	-2.61
LeBron James	93	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	0	-8	16.9	12.5	4.38	13.5	22.0	-8.51
Rodney Hood	49	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	4	-16	15.1	18.6	-3.53	15.1	12.0	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.14,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.02,0	90.6%
BOS 80, SAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	90.5%
BOS 89, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.22,0.28,0	90.3%