NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	8.5 [204]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +43.1%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	2.0 [588]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -23.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.11	0.17	-0.02	14	72%	0.40	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	22	54%	0.09	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.08
Nick Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0	0.04	-0.09	-0.05	17	56%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jordan Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.22	6	-0.29	4	75%	-0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	3	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.43	0.43	0.15	0.29	0.00	15	60%	0.43	0	0.00	10	90%	0.07
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	19	48%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	90%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.08	-0.02	21	37%	-0.08	6	-0.15	9	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	31.7	14.7	30.2	2.6	38.3	146.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -1.5%

HOU +9.9%

HOU +10.3%

HOU +29.1%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.0	17.0	14.7	97.9	102.1	107.5
season	13.7	14.6		112.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	15.1		105.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	11.6	13.1	13.6	13.0
HOU	15.1	17.9	16.3	19.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-7	10	12.6	13.2	-0.62	17.5	16.6	0.87
Quinn Cook	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-9	14	15.9	12.4	3.49	14.0	17.6	-3.64
Nick Young	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	12.5	13.0	-0.48	2.0	17.2	-15.19
Jordan Bell	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-1	-2	14.7	12.3	2.42	15.9	17.5	-1.54
David West	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-3	2	13.0	13.0	-0.01	17.2	17.0	0.19
Shaun Livingston	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-5	6	12.7	13.1	-0.45	17.7	16.6	1.09
Kevin Durant	80	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-6	8	13.2	11.9	1.31	16.7	18.9	-2.21
Draymond Green	85	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	5	-14	12.4	17.5	-5.17	17.3	14.7	2.60
Klay Thompson	84	85	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	5	-14	12.9	13.4	-0.51	17.5	13.1	4.45
Stephen Curry	84	84	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	5	-14	12.6	15.3	-2.70	17.1	16.3	0.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	82	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-10	24	17.5	14.6	2.88	13.6	9.9	3.64
Clint Capela	57	59	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-2	8	16.3	18.1	-1.85	11.8	14.8	-2.91
James Harden	80	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	17.0	16.9	0.11	12.5	15.2	-2.68
Eric Gordon	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.52	0	4	-4	16.8	17.7	-0.93	12.8	13.7	-0.95
Trevor Ariza	85	85	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	4	-4	16.5	21.5	-5.00	13.0	12.8	0.17
Gerald Green	31	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	16.9	17.1	-0.24	14.6	12.3	2.32
Chris Paul	72	73	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	17	-30	18.1	13.8	4.26	13.3	12.0	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, SAS 112	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.92,1	92.7%
WAS 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,1	92.5%
MIL 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.84,1	92.2%