NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	8.9 [190]		MVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): +27.6%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	2.3 [585]		LVP	Derrick Rose (MIN): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.19	0.09	0.01	12	82%	0.34	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.07
Jimmy Butler	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.14	-0.00	0.14	-0.00	23	45%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	8	55%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	18	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	6	53%	-0.00	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	12	31%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.22	-0.02	21	53%	0.37	3	-0.10	11	64%	-0.03
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	4	112%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	12	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	23	37%	-0.07	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.8	26.0	14.6	27.8	1.8	35.9	136.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.6%

MIN -9.3%

SAS +24.7%

MIN -0.4%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	14.3	111.3	114.3	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		110.2	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		110.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.5	13.3	14.5	13.6	13.4
SAS	14.6	17.2	17.5	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	49	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-3	2	15.2	11.5	3.70	14.4	17.6	-3.20
Tyus Jones	34	34	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.6	12.2	3.35	13.5	17.4	-3.89
Anthony Tolliver	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	14.8	12.5	2.26	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Taj Gibson	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.19	-4	0	-4	12.1	15.2	-3.17	16.6	15.3	1.29
Andrew Wiggins	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	12.7	15.9	-3.18	16.3	15.2	1.12
Jimmy Butler	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	13.1	13.9	-0.80	16.8	14.7	2.14
Derrick Rose	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-3	2	14.0	12.4	1.54	15.0	18.1	-3.18
Karl-Anthony Towns	44	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	12.7	14.0	-1.30	17.4	14.9	2.54
Jeff Teague	63	64	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	12.2	15.6	-3.35	17.4	13.5	3.89

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	17.3	12.0	5.38	12.8	15.5	-2.70
LaMarcus Aldridge	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	16.2	15.4	0.75	13.3	14.1	-0.77
Davis Bertans	37	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	16.7	15.7	1.06	13.2	13.5	-0.33
Patty Mills	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	15.4	17.2	-1.88	13.7	12.9	0.75
Marco Belinelli	43	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	1	2	15.1	16.8	-1.66	14.8	12.2	2.57
Bryn Forbes	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	2	0	16.1	16.0	0.15	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Rudy Gay	48	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	15.9	16.2	-0.26	13.5	13.3	0.23
Jakob Poeltl	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	19.4	15.5	3.93	11.1	13.9	-2.81
Dante Cunningham	16	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	8	-12	13.6	16.6	-3.00	13.6	13.4	0.27
Pau Gasol	47	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	15.0	17.1	-2.10	14.5	12.4	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.1%
CHI 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.9%
GSW 94, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,1	92.7%