inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 91 Excitement7.2 [342] MVPJarvis Hayes (DET): +10.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 103 Comeback3.2 [474] LVPRonald Murray (DET): -19.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.01972%0.1100.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.02275%0.1000.00887%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.011157%0.081-0.026100%0.04
Cheikh Samb0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.011443%-0.053-0.052100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0010%-0.023-0.0900%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.021353%0.015-0.14475%-0.03
Ronald Murray-0.190,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.14-0.08-0.031837%-0.044-0.15560%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.05-0.001050%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.04-0.00262%0.0700.00475%-0.01
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.07-0.011150%0.082-0.022100%0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.010.071562%0.082-0.071060%-0.06
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0-0.00-0.020.070.051846%0.052-0.065100%0.04
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.011042%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Brian Cook0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.050.031042%-0.0800.004100%0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021228%-0.071-0.011100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.53.731.519.427.44.533.2145.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +1.1%
DET -2.1%
LAL +24.0%
LAL +21.3%
LAL +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETLALNBADETLALNBA
this game15.715.215.496.8112.0105.7
season16.814.6108.8110.6
opponent15.215.8104.1101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.212.916.118.015.7
LAL13.316.718.113.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson37360.27-0.771.040.019-213013.817.0-3.2416.214.61.66
Arron Afflalo23230.21-0.710.920.123-151815.315.9-0.5514.115.6-1.48
Nazr Mohammed98-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-10816.315.70.6710.615.7-5.05
Lindsey Hunter1514-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-3-9613.216.2-3.0014.715.3-0.62
Cheikh Samb2929-0.21-0.290.07-0.15-2-10815.715.70.0015.415.10.31
Tayshaun Prince6869-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-4-416.114.81.2715.813.72.12
Ronald Murray7978-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-3-616.213.23.0015.314.70.62
Rasheed Wallace6161-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-2-816.015.10.9315.015.6-0.56
Jarvis Hayes3633-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-8415.316.0-0.6315.315.20.10
Richard Hamilton6966-0.540.04-0.58-0.22-11-1-1015.616.0-0.3215.714.21.46
Jason Maxiell4443-0.840.34-1.18-0.16-2311-3416.914.72.2714.415.9-1.50

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bynum43450.67-0.170.840.2913-11414.515.9-1.4515.516.0-0.49
Vladimir Radmanovic40420.62-0.120.750.1815-31813.516.5-2.9915.715.70.03
Jordan Farmar49500.58-0.080.660.1415-31814.316.3-1.9115.216.3-1.03
Maurice Evans22240.53-0.030.550.181201213.115.9-2.7616.015.60.32
Luke Walton10100.490.010.490.171111012.115.6-3.5221.615.06.58
Brian Cook36360.060.44-0.39-0.0648-415.714.90.8416.415.31.08
Lamar Odom75740.000.50-0.50-0.03111-1015.912.53.4015.616.2-0.67
Kobe Bryant7070-0.030.53-0.55-0.03012-1215.913.12.7615.616.0-0.32
Derek Fisher4344-0.080.58-0.660.01-315-1816.314.31.9116.315.21.03
Kwame Brown4949-0.170.67-0.84-0.14-113-1415.914.51.4516.015.50.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 104, TOR 1150.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,193.4%
MIN 108, SAS 1120.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.92,193.1%
CHI 81, ATL 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,192.8%