NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	6.8 [506]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +28.9%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.9 [186]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -17.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.09	0.04	13	104%	0.34	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.01	10	60%	0.26	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Dante Exum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	7	56%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	65%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.03
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	21	37%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	15	66%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	19	51%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.05
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	22	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	16	44%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Nene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	33.6	15.8	28.0	2.7	37.2	146.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +65.4%

HOU -4.4%

UTA +6.7%

HOU -17.9%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.8	13.6	14.7	111.5	101.9	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.1	13.1	15.6	13.8	13.8
HOU	13.5	14.1	14.5	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	73	75	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-3	14	13.6	14.4	-0.80	13.2	14.5	-1.33
Dante Exum	40	40	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-2	12	13.1	14.3	-1.27	12.9	14.0	-1.08
Donovan Mitchell	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-5	18	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.4	10.8	3.58
Rudy Gobert	79	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	9	-10	14.2	12.9	1.28	13.8	12.9	0.97
Joe Ingles	75	76	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	10	-12	14.1	13.3	0.76	14.2	12.0	2.15
Alec Burks	50	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	13.6	14.1	-0.42	12.7	14.4	-1.73
Derrick Favors	45	47	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	1	6	13.9	13.8	0.10	14.0	13.2	0.84
Raul Neto	19	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	12.3	14.2	-1.88	10.2	14.4	-4.16
Royce O'Neale	59	60	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	11	-14	14.4	13.1	1.31	13.8	13.3	0.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	18	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	11.8	13.9	-2.10	12.7	14.1	-1.31
Nene	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-3	-2	13.3	13.6	-0.26	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Chris Paul	80	78	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	13.2	14.8	-1.68	14.0	13.4	0.63
Clint Capela	73	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	14.2	12.2	1.94	14.3	12.9	1.36
Gerald Green	23	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	3	-14	12.4	13.9	-1.51	12.5	14.2	-1.67
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	2	-12	12.4	14.3	-1.84	12.5	14.6	-2.04
PJ Tucker	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-11	14	14.2	12.5	1.67	14.3	13.0	1.32
James Harden	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-8	8	14.1	12.2	1.80	14.1	13.0	1.14
Trevor Ariza	71	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	14.4	11.8	2.61	14.1	13.3	0.85
Eric Gordon	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	1	-10	13.1	15.0	-1.94	13.4	15.1	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, CHH 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.0%
SAS 105, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0	90.8%
HOU 109, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.31,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.22,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	90.7%