inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 113 Excitement10.9 [32] MVPJR Smith (CLE): +32.6%
Toronto Raptors 112 Comeback9.8 [64] LVPFred VanVleet (TOR): -33.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JR Smith0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.180.150.011180%0.3300.003100%0.02
Jeff Green0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.050.014100%0.211-0.04887%0.01
Tristan Thompson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.110.090.020.01870%0.1100.004100%0.06
Kyle Korver0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.050.08-0.05-0.021756%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00729%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Rodney Hood-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
LeBron James-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.17,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.15-0.06-0.080.013039%-0.141-0.02617%-0.07
Kevin Love-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.13-0.021327%-0.092-0.1400%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.000.13-0.01847%0.161-0.023100%0.06
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.05-0.01573%0.132-0.03540%-0.06
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.070.070.040.040.011267%0.194-0.123100%0.03
OG Anunoby0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.01642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00340%-0.0200.004100%0.02
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.05-0.03650%0.011-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.02-0.120.032051%-0.102-0.04367%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.05-0.13-0.001945%-0.093-0.09978%-0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.34-0.340.02-0.36-0.00750%-0.3400.004100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.33.530.315.731.13.441.21.814.7168.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +57.0%
TOR -26.6%
CLE +17.1%
CLE +1.8%
CLE +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game16.615.514.7114.1113.1107.5
season14.814.6111.2112.7
opponent14.814.7105.9110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE18.313.916.615.722.616.6
TOR12.515.515.419.414.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan Thompson45460.76-0.261.020.702-1317.615.81.7815.515.50.05
Jeff Green55540.63-0.130.770.3410-91915.018.6-3.6114.916.3-1.38
LeBron James88870.59-0.090.670.445-4916.319.0-2.6916.111.05.14
JR Smith66650.53-0.030.560.56-12-316.716.40.3216.014.61.37
George Hill56530.330.170.160.3301-116.017.4-1.3515.415.7-0.26
Kyle Korver68700.200.30-0.100.055-4916.915.91.0215.715.20.48
Kevin Love6161-0.120.62-0.730.09-78-1517.814.73.0816.114.61.56
Rodney Hood3233-0.180.68-0.85-0.09-34-716.616.6-0.0614.416.1-1.73
Jordan Clarkson2426-0.240.74-0.99-0.07-67-1316.816.50.2413.416.3-2.84

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl32300.15-0.650.810.073-4715.015.8-0.8117.516.21.23
OG Anunoby57560.11-0.610.72-0.014-5915.715.20.5217.215.81.48
Pascal Siakam43410.06-0.560.610.20-54-915.215.8-0.6216.017.0-0.99
Serge Ibaka5151-0.03-0.470.44-0.247-81516.414.61.7317.615.52.07
Delon Wright3230-0.04-0.460.430.08-43-714.915.8-0.9516.116.8-0.77
CJ Miles4143-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.350-1114.316.3-2.0015.817.2-1.44
Fred VanVleet3231-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.26-76-1315.115.7-0.6714.817.4-2.57
Kyle Lowry7174-0.570.07-0.63-0.570-1115.814.71.1216.616.50.12
DeMar DeRozan7273-0.610.11-0.72-0.610-1115.914.51.3717.015.41.60
Jonas Valanciunas6466-0.760.26-1.01-0.67-32-515.715.20.4916.417.1-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 121, GSW 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.04,0.01,090.0%
DAL 124, NYK 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,089.8%
MIN 124, GSW 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.63,0.75,0.91,0.54,0.25,0.36,0.09,0.17,089.4%