NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	121		Excitement	9.2 [98]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +55.9%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	226.3 [7]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -24.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.56	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56	0.11	0.46	0.01	24	57%	0.60	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.10	0.17	0.04	13	75%	0.36	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	52%	0.16	2	-0.04	5	0%	-0.13
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	36%	0.07	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	0.04	7	50%	-0.11	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.18	0.00	12	87%	0.51	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.06
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	16	58%	0.10	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.09	-0.02	24	37%	-0.15	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	27.5	14.5	28.3	2.7	40.2	1.8	13.9	154.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +71.4%

GSW -13.8%

GSW -22.3%

CHA +8.5%

CHA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.5	119.8	111.9	105.7
season	16.2	14.8		102.3	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	16.5	16.4	17.5	17.1	13.9	16.5
GSW	12.8	16.3	16.0	16.4	12.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	58	57	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-7	22	16.1	17.1	-1.01	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	1	6	15.9	18.5	-2.60	14.9	15.4	-0.50
D.J. Augustin	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-1	10	16.1	17.7	-1.62	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Kwame Brown	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	7	-6	16.7	16.1	0.61	15.8	13.5	2.26
Gerald Wallace	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	2	4	16.3	17.1	-0.80	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Nazr Mohammed	31	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	2	4	17.5	16.1	1.44	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Derrick Brown	25	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	17.6	16.2	1.44	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Shaun Livingston	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	9	-10	18.5	15.9	2.60	15.6	14.8	0.77
Eduardo Najera	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	17.4	16.4	1.06	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Boris Diaw	57	58	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.14	1	7	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.62	15.0	14.9	0.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	36	32	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.33	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.0	2.59	18.0	15.8	2.22
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.9	0.24	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Acie Law	22	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	15.4	14.8	0.56	16.7	16.4	0.29
David Lee	74	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.9	15.2	-0.29	16.6	16.3	0.26
Stephen Curry	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-5	2	14.9	15.2	-0.23	16.6	16.3	0.31
Andris Biedrins	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.82	17.0	15.9	1.03
Dorell Wright	83	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	14.7	16.0	-1.25	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Reggie Williams	34	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-6	4	14.2	15.3	-1.11	14.6	17.5	-2.86
Monta Ellis	90	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.14	16.5	16.4	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 124, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.63,0.75,0.91,0.54,0.25,0.36,0.09,0.17,0	91.6%
PHI 111, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	90.8%
HOU 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	90.1%