NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	124		Excitement	9.9 [67]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +25.5%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	20.7 [64]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -18.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.11	0.03	27	59%	0.26	0	0.00	12	100%	0.11
Jason Terry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	0.00	14	65%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.02	7	44%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Singleton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.02	24	54%	0.08	2	-0.10	9	67%	-0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.10	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	7	21%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	13	57%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	11	36%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	12	52%	0.06	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.12	-0.18	0.05	20	57%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	19	38%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.03	-0.21	-0.01	14	61%	-0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	1.5	31.2	17.0	25.2	2.3	27.5	1.6	13.2	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.8%

DAL +22.0%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +9.1%

NYK -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	15.5	111.7	101.8	106.4
season	15.6	13.8		108.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	15.0	13.4	14.4	18.6	20.4	15.6
NYK	11.1	14.3	11.9	16.4	10.5	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	86	88	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-10	30	14.7	18.8	-4.10	13.1	12.4	0.73
Brandon Bass	59	61	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.14	22	-12	34	16.0	15.2	0.81	14.6	11.0	3.54
Dirk Nowitzki	91	92	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-3	16	15.4	16.5	-1.12	13.2	11.7	1.52
Jason Kidd	83	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-2	14	15.3	16.4	-1.08	13.1	12.5	0.61
Josh Howard	97	97	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	4	2	15.7	14.9	0.75	12.5	15.7	-3.14
Erick Dampier	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.3	15.5	0.81	12.2	13.0	-0.75
Jose Juan Barea	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	12	-14	16.7	15.2	1.57	11.9	13.3	-1.46
Antoine Wright	24	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	8	-6	18.2	14.9	3.40	14.6	12.4	2.17
Gerald Green	15	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	16.0	15.5	0.48	11.7	13.1	-1.42
James Singleton	61	61	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.00	-12	22	-34	15.2	16.0	-0.83	11.3	14.9	-3.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	87	89	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-19	28	13.0	12.8	0.14	15.8	14.8	1.01
Mardy Collins	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-12	14	12.6	13.0	-0.43	12.3	16.1	-3.78
Nate Robinson	62	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.21	-8	-2	-6	12.8	13.1	-0.28	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Wilson Chandler	52	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-7	4	12.6	13.2	-0.62	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Chris Duhon	97	96	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	13.0	12.3	0.71	16.0	12.8	3.22
Quentin Richardson	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-5	0	12.8	13.2	-0.40	16.8	13.1	3.76
David Lee	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	6	-22	13.6	11.6	2.05	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Jamal Crawford	86	85	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	2	-14	13.0	12.8	0.23	15.5	15.9	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.02,0.08,0	90.0%
PHI 111, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	89.8%
CLE 113, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.08,0	89.8%