NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	5.8 [686]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +27.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	1.4 [878]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): -15.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	21	59%	0.21	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	3	73%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.03	0.04	13	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.08	-0.01	25	69%	0.37	4	-0.09	15	73%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.08
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	3.4	28.8	0.6	33.7	0.7	45.5	143.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.4%

CLE +11.3%

CLE +16.4%

IND -1.9%

CLE +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	17.2	14.7	112.2	119.3	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	16.4	14.3	13.8	15.2
CLE	17.9	19.6	16.3	15.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	46	43	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-14	24	15.0	15.3	-0.36	19.6	15.0	4.65
Cory Joseph	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-4	4	16.7	14.5	2.16	16.5	17.5	-1.06
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.7	17.0	-2.34	17.1	17.8	-0.72
Trevor Booker	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	18.9	14.6	4.34	18.2	17.1	1.09
Darren Collison	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-8	12	14.6	18.1	-3.49	17.5	15.4	2.10
Victor Oladipo	79	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-5	6	14.6	18.8	-4.17	17.0	18.7	-1.71
Thaddeus Young	72	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	3	-10	14.6	17.4	-2.86	16.7	19.2	-2.44
Domantas Sabonis	48	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.6	1.05	16.2	18.5	-2.22
Lance Stephenson	21	20	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	15	-34	18.0	14.3	3.71	16.9	17.3	-0.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	38	38	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	15.3	18.7	-3.46	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Jeff Green	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	14.6	19.6	-5.04	16.1	14.3	1.85
Kevin Love	57	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-3	10	18.9	14.2	4.63	14.7	16.1	-1.47
JR Smith	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	-1	6	16.9	18.3	-1.39	14.5	17.0	-2.42
Tristan Thompson	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	2	0	16.9	18.3	-1.39	14.7	16.5	-1.89
LeBron James	80	82	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	6	-8	17.2	17.5	-0.30	15.0	16.9	-1.89
Larry Nance Jr.	21	23	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	5	-6	18.3	16.9	1.39	17.0	14.5	2.42
Kyle Korver	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-4	12	19.2	15.5	3.73	13.8	16.3	-2.52
Jordan Clarkson	17	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	18.5	16.9	1.54	18.2	14.4	3.83
Rodney Hood	10	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	10	-16	18.6	17.1	1.55	19.7	14.5	5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CLE 97, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
UTA 89, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%