NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	5.3 [753]		MVP	Mike Scott (ATL): +13.7%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.3 [616]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -14.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	51%	0.11	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	0.02	13	53%	0.02	9	-0.17	8	87%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	12	68%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.05	8	44%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	31.3	17.6	31.1	2.3	27.6	135.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.9%

CLE -14.0%

CLE -3.5%

ATL +16.0%

ATL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.1	103.2	115.2	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	15.9	14.2	16.2	15.7
ATL	13.9	16.1	15.2	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	43	42	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-9	9	14.6	16.7	-2.17	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Joe Harris	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.0	15.2	0.78
Kevin Love	69	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-11	13	15.3	16.8	-1.45	15.0	15.9	-0.86
LeBron James	79	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	15.4	17.3	-1.82	14.9	17.1	-2.26
Iman Shumpert	43	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-6	3	16.4	15.2	1.26	15.4	15.1	0.30
J.R. Smith	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.2	-0.80	15.6	14.6	0.97
Kyrie Irving	84	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	15.3	19.5	-4.21	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Matthew Dellavedova	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	2	-13	17.2	15.1	2.18	15.7	15.0	0.70
James Jones	25	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	2	-13	16.8	15.3	1.45	15.9	15.0	0.86
Tristan Thompson	40	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	17.2	14.6	2.55	15.2	15.2	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	35	37	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-6	21	15.4	15.1	0.32	17.5	14.6	2.89
Dennis Schroder	43	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-1	11	16.8	13.9	2.93	18.2	13.8	4.40
Mike Scott	31	33	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	2	5	15.5	15.1	0.48	16.7	15.2	1.48
Kyle Korver	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	14.7	16.4	-1.72	15.2	17.0	-1.83
Al Horford	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	1	7	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.8	18.0	-3.28
Elton Brand	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	7	-5	14.6	15.3	-0.74	18.1	15.4	2.69
Pero Antic	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	8	-7	16.1	15.1	0.98	18.7	15.3	3.46
Jeff Teague	62	64	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	14.9	15.9	-1.05	14.6	18.2	-3.57
Shelvin Mack	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	14	-19	17.2	15.0	2.21	16.7	15.6	1.03
Paul Millsap	64	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	9	-9	15.1	15.4	-0.29	15.2	16.8	-1.58
DeMarre Carroll	63	65	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	9	-9	14.7	16.5	-1.83	14.7	18.0	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	93.8%
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
PHX 87, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%