NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	4.2 [1006]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +13.6%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	1.2 [873]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -8.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	17	70%	0.18	3	-0.05	9	44%	-0.06
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	14	78%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01
John Henson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sterling Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	22	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.02	0.07	14	72%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	25.4	15.8	29.0	2.8	31.2	135.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +13.6%

BOS +2.5%

BOS +8.4%

BOS +23.8%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	14.7	112.8	127.7	107.5
season	14.3	15.1		108.5	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	14.0	15.3	13.4	14.4
BOS	15.6	16.0	16.8	16.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	26	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-20	26	13.0	15.0	-2.01	16.2	16.2	0.01
Thon Maker	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	10.7	14.5	-3.87	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Sterling Brown	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-18	22	12.2	14.9	-2.71	16.2	16.2	-0.07
Jason Terry	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-11	8	13.0	14.6	-1.60	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Matthew Dellavedova	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-13	12	15.8	14.3	1.51	14.7	16.4	-1.72
John Henson	71	73	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-19	24	13.9	16.0	-2.04	16.8	14.2	2.56
Eric Bledsoe	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	14.4	14.6	-0.20	16.9	14.6	2.25
Tony Snell	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-7	0	15.0	13.8	1.21	16.5	15.9	0.61
Tyler Zeller	13	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.2	14.3	0.95	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Jabari Parker	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	1	-16	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.3	15.2	-0.89	16.2	16.0	0.25
Malcolm Brogdon	35	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	3	-20	15.0	14.1	0.98	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Khris Middleton	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	4	-22	15.4	11.6	3.89	16.7	14.9	1.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-5	24	16.5	15.3	1.16	15.1	12.3	2.80
Jaylen Brown	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-3	20	16.6	15.4	1.24	15.6	12.3	3.30
Marcus Morris	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-5	24	15.2	18.1	-2.92	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Al Horford	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	0	14	16.6	15.4	1.18	15.6	11.9	3.69
Jayson Tatum	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	16.1	16.4	-0.33	14.7	14.0	0.71
Aron Baynes	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.09	4	10	-6	16.6	15.9	0.64	14.7	14.2	0.46
Greg Monroe	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	13	-12	16.3	16.2	0.19	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Guerschon Yabusele	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	17	-20	15.7	16.4	-0.69	11.6	15.4	-3.80
Shane Larkin	43	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	22	-30	16.3	16.2	0.10	12.6	15.8	-3.20
Abdel Nader	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	14.0	16.3	-2.27	10.7	14.5	-3.87
Semi Ojeleye	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	14.0	16.3	-2.27	10.7	14.5	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 75, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 93, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%