NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	7.6 [345]		MVP	Delon Wright (TOR): +22.6%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	2.5 [691]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -14.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	48%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Mike Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	21	53%	0.14	7	-0.25	7	86%	0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	20	48%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.14	0.01	10	75%	0.25	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	13	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	24	59%	0.22	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	13	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	31.5	15.4	31.6	1.8	32.4	142.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +54.9%

WAS -7.6%

WAS -28.2%

TOR +33.4%

WAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	14.7	99.0	109.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.1	15.9	13.0	14.3	15.0
TOR	14.2	13.5	15.3	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-15	20	17.2	14.3	2.97	16.9	13.1	3.76
Ty Lawson	28	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-11	12	15.5	14.8	0.72	15.9	13.4	2.45
Ian Mahinmi	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	17.9	14.5	3.39	12.6	14.3	-1.66
Tomas Satoransky	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-8	6	18.4	14.8	3.67	15.1	14.0	1.15
Markieff Morris	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-5	0	14.2	16.3	-2.15	14.2	13.8	0.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.4	14.6	0.81	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Marcin Gortat	72	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.4	13.4	0.99
John Wall	92	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	14.8	18.4	-3.67	14.0	15.1	-1.15
Otto Porter Jr.	65	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	2	-14	14.3	16.4	-2.07	13.3	15.5	-2.21
Bradley Beal	78	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	4	-18	14.6	16.5	-1.91	13.2	17.2	-3.96

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	69	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.16	19	-9	28	13.3	15.8	-2.48	14.9	15.3	-0.35
DeMar DeRozan	81	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-5	20	13.9	14.8	-0.93	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Delon Wright	54	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	14.1	14.0	0.13	15.4	14.6	0.77
CJ Miles	48	46	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	14.6	13.6	0.95	15.5	14.6	0.98
Kyle Lowry	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-1	12	13.7	15.6	-1.93	14.6	17.1	-2.56
Norman Powell	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	9	-8	14.3	14.0	0.27	15.9	14.9	1.02
OG Anunoby	45	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	14.0	14.1	-0.13	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Serge Ibaka	48	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	14.3	13.9	0.43	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Jakob Poeltl	30	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	19	-28	15.8	13.3	2.48	15.3	14.9	0.35
Pascal Siakam	23	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	14	-18	14.3	14.0	0.30	16.0	14.7	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.6%
SEA 106, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	92.6%
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.4%