NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	3.5 [1129]		MVP	CJ Miles (TOR): +21.7%
Toronto Raptors	130		Comeback	1.1 [1165]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -4.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	-0.00	0.06	10	91%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.02	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Wall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	17	64%	0.09	4	-0.04	11	100%	0.05
Ian Mahinmi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	4	92%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	11	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	7	100%	0.22	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.22	0.01	0.03	23	69%	0.21	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	76%	0.12	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	3	82%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	11	43%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.7	35.5	15.4	28.4	3.4	35.3	147.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.6%

TOR +6.8%

TOR +15.1%

WAS -5.7%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	14.6	14.7	114.4	126.2	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.1	12.8	13.8	13.4	13.2
TOR	12.2	14.9	16.8	14.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-23	35	13.7	13.1	0.59	15.0	14.4	0.60
Ian Mahinmi	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-22	33	13.3	13.2	0.07	15.9	14.0	1.86
Mike Scott	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.51	13	-24	37	13.5	13.0	0.49	15.0	14.0	0.97
Ty Lawson	64	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-19	27	13.7	12.5	1.18	15.3	13.4	1.93
Marcin Gortat	26	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.0	1.00	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-10	9	13.1	13.6	-0.50	14.6	14.5	0.07
Otto Porter Jr.	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	1	-13	12.6	14.0	-1.42	14.3	14.9	-0.64
John Wall	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	4	-19	13.1	13.5	-0.42	15.0	13.7	1.26
Markieff Morris	65	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.41	-31	20	-51	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.3	16.7	-3.42
Bradley Beal	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.46	-34	23	-57	13.4	13.1	0.32	13.9	15.4	-1.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	70	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.33	32	-21	53	13.6	16.7	-3.07	13.3	13.2	0.07
DeMar DeRozan	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-12	35	14.1	16.2	-2.10	13.4	12.8	0.60
Kyle Lowry	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	-16	43	14.2	15.8	-1.55	13.3	13.1	0.22
Jonas Valanciunas	52	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.29	27	-16	43	13.5	15.7	-2.23	13.4	13.1	0.30
Delon Wright	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	11	-11	15.3	13.8	1.48	13.5	13.0	0.54
OG Anunoby	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	5	1	13.5	15.3	-1.84	12.8	13.5	-0.70
CJ Miles	43	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	13	-15	16.3	13.3	2.95	14.0	12.6	1.40
Norman Powell	10	9	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	18	-25	14.8	14.6	0.24	14.0	13.2	0.82
Fred VanVleet	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	15.8	14.5	1.33	13.5	13.2	0.27
Pascal Siakam	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	20	-29	15.7	14.2	1.52	12.8	13.4	-0.54
Jakob Poeltl	27	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.26	-10	21	-31	17.7	13.5	4.23	13.5	13.1	0.39
Lorenzo Brown	14	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	23	-35	16.0	14.4	1.64	11.8	13.5	-1.69
Lucas Nogueira	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.40	-19	30	-49	13.5	14.7	-1.28	9.8	13.7	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 97, GSW 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHA 84, NOP 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%